Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. France: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcab11f4b13ebb9550a23330513b2db3e38ebad3bca5a5ffb2097064e3d0a3c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 20,008$13,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 37c | 10,200$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.3 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 36c | 8,300$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 7,249$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.57 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 66c | 3,816$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.8 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,757$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.27 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 3,383$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.71 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 68c | 2,200$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 36c | 1,930$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.1 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,823$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 1,804$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 63c | 1,740$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.75 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 1,528$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 12c | 861.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 63c | 793.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.62 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 13c | 767.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 69c | 766.53$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.63 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 13c | 735.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 12c | 568.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 17c | 538.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 36c | 499.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…d2afbacked Yes | 8c | 472.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 36c | 452.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 29c | 356.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 32c | 333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 330$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 319.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…8d40backed Yes | 33c | 290.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…78a8backed Yes | 31c | 286.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 33c | 280$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 67c | 240.08$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 64c | 239.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 64c | 228.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 207.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…1992backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 69c | 156.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 64c | 149.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…81c7backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…6cf2backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…ee3fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9c82backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 20c | 124.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…b00abacked Yes | 11c | 112.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed Yes | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 71c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45e…9f60backed Yes | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…f6bdbacked No | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 59.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 21c | 56.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…777dbacked Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked No | 63c | 53.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed No | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 237 | 61.2%145 W · 92 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 62c | 43.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…4b35backed Yes | 35c | 42.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 36c | 42.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…23b0backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…bbadbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 73c | 34.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…b82ebacked No | 64c | 33.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…4b81backed Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…1491backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked No | 63c | 21.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. France: Draw at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?Yes won
- Norway leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.