Fifa International · resolved market
Norway leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1575fca0cbcfc7b04bee83fb843811c21e603fcf95bbf00c73ed0f6e25566173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 16c | 14,294$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.42 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 13,691$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.53 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 9,253$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 18c | 8,600$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,753$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.97 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes | 13c | 4,841$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.31 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 2,919$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 13c | 2,571$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 18c | 1,968$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 19c | 1,748$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.87 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,339$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 13c | 1,324$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 1,183$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…c1a4backed Yes | 13c | 970$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…c159backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 12c | 870.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 811.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 4c | 795.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 12c | 778.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 13c | 773.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 742$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 2c | 604$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 18c | 500.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 12c | 454.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 12c | 391.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 8c | 360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Yes | 12c | 345.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 306.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 11c | 290$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 12c | 264.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 19c | 260.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 20c | 240$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 15c | 219.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 12c | 166.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…1485backed Yes | 20c | 153.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 11c | 120.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…2762backed Yes | 20c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway leading at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?Yes won
- Norway vs. France: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.