TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,851,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,865,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,851,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88b9…36aebacked Over48c625,000$300,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,999.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Over44c381,120$167,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,692.722123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Under56c300,000$168,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,999.964753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Under53c263,028$139,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,865.844143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c204,974$106,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,305.942,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under52c103,999$54,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,919.6942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under56c95,530$53,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,033.232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c89,953$33,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,359.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over38c66,170$24,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,992.241,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under52c41,972$21,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,086.4413448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c29,238$12,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,864.7477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c21,373$4,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,702.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80017852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63f…8ecabacked Under56c17,595$9,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,741.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under52c15,405$8,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,394.48349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under60c14,702$8,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over47c13,603$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over44c12,408$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.1324344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c11,719$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.018,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Over44c11,305$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.127342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under56c11,147$6,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.7436247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c10,752$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over45c10,237$4,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,604.1753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under56c10,230$5,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,501.228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5004344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.8510840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c9,768$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.551,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3818740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under56c9,486$5,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,173.712040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under56c9,380$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.313151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Under55c9,278$5,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.94553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over44c8,294$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37510059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under56c7,493$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.9216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over46c7,304$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under55c7,096$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.112138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.8414445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over40c5,205$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.8610146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under55c5,000$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.999266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over39c5,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.9238526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under56c4,853$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.611,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9145…fe79backed Over45c4,078$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under57c3,786$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.7114351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under72c3,676$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.3374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under55c3,649$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.69647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Under56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.436434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c3,520$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5408337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Under57c3,496$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.096048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over15c3,461$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.671,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Under56c3,452$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.910562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under53c3,138$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.291,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c3,131$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.981,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c3,100$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3641,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under55c2,997$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.751,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c2,921$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.362,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c2,907$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Under56c2,857$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.147630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Under56c2,493$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.3732739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over44c2,406$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.6533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under53c2,300$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under52c2,250$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.98453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Under56c2,222$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.6817636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked Under56c2,204$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.571662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under54c2,070$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.9611952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Under58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.979241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90011642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c1,818$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under58c1,810$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.3419329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7112556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under56c1,785$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ee…945dbacked Under57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.393354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under58c1,739$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.0915937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Under56c1,679$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.969150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Over44c1,660$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.4129017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under55c1,590$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over44c1,467$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.648723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over18c1,461$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over50c1,382$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.8727345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over45c1,300$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.6748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Over44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5721553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57215149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Over44c1,261$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5559733%32 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c1,250$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c1,250$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.583,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over25c1,247$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.011,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under50c1,224$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.8560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over46c1,136$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.552,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.