TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cabo Verdeof Saudi Arabia, Cabo Verde
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Saudi Arabia3c68,592$2,297 inLost-$2,297.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Saudi Arabia2c4,653$97 inLost-$96.995731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Saudi Arabia3c4,270$126 inLost-$125.81,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Saudi Arabia2c2,425$48 inLost-$48.497431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Saudi Arabia2c2,425$48 inLost-$48.493727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Saudi Arabia5c2,174$100 inLost-$1004228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Saudi Arabia5c2,020$100 inLost-$10015418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Saudi Arabia3c2,000$60 inLost-$606043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Saudi Arabia3c1,943$68 inLost-$67.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Saudi Arabia6c1,851$115 inLost-$114.8310836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saudi Arabia2c1,850$39 inLost-$38.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Saudi Arabia6c1,570$97 inLost-$96.993823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Saudi Arabia6c1,548$100 inLost-$100.254425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Saudi Arabia4c1,465$53 inLost-$53.4831149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Saudi Arabia6c1,167$67 inLost-$67.262,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Saudi Arabia3c885.14$31 inLost-$30.982638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Saudi Arabia2c805.95$16 inLost-$16.1238437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Saudi Arabia4c772.31$28 inLost-$28.3316546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Saudi Arabia4c664.93$28 inLost-$28.148937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Saudi Arabia3c571.43$20 inLost-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Saudi Arabia4c522.21$19 inLost-$19.3416052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Saudi Arabia2c500$10 inLost-$101,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Saudi Arabia4c458.25$19 inLost-$19.2537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Saudi Arabia4c380.06$15 inLost-$15.291,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Saudi Arabia5c200.86$10 inLost-$10.251,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.