Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f32abbcdfabbbf299aa77d1c2245f74687cc8103d1085fbe88264c56f4c75a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 6,176$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.46 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 2,863$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 35c | 2,168$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.22 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 64c | 1,702$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 65c | 1,688$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…d893backed Under | 68c | 1,610$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.29 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 36c | 1,399$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.66 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 65c | 1,344$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.28 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 1,252$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.48 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 38c | 1,142$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.75 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 828.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 695.54$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 17c | 692.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 62c | 672$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 33c | 599.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 32c | 512$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 39c | 404.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 384.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 62c | 349.55$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Under | 66c | 325$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 64c | 279.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…ce14backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 179.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…89c9backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d9…3624backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 66c | 103.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 35c | 96.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…1958backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 62c | 66.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 63c | 64.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…bb87backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 37c | 54.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 39.5%117 W · 179 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 66c | 47.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 35c | 34.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 16.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.