Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5163e8172552800f5f82c9e80d979bc17c8b190e6ff89287e2cde903358aa90

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224f…514abacked Over	75c	11,042$8,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,276.93	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	33c	8,964$2,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,997.92	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under	55c	4,102$2,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.91	44	72.7%32 W · 12 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under	75c	4,000$3,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	53c	3,592$1,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,694.59	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under	30c	3,013$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,113.16	232	30.2%70 W · 162 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	44c	2,806$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.78	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	73c	2,577$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885.7	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	45c	2,401$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.58	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	57c	1,923$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.04	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Under	72c	1,567$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.71	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over	14c	1,275$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.48	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	72c	1,161$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.09	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	70c	900$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	72c	782.62$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.26	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	78c	769.25$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.1	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Under	71c	603.3$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.96	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over	67c	565.12$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.63	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-8.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	142	42.3%60 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	72c	500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under	28c	500$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	27c	424.54$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.91	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	68c	405.95$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.65	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	30c	396.26$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.38	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	26c	393.38$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.1	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over	45c	310.14$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.84	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	73c	278.72$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.94	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	74	71.6%53 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	69cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Under	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under	27c	197.51$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.16	177	57.1%101 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	55c	196.47$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.71	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	78c	194.19$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.91	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over	75c	165.33$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under	50c	154$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	63c	143.44$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…593abacked Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Under	29c	137.93$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.93	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under	27c	103$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.19	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under	28c	90$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6087…61e8backed Under	27c	84.42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.42	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e4…2e5bbacked Under	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Over	74c	81.07$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over	61c	78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.58	95	73.7%70 W · 25 L	+15.1wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	25c	75.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.94	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Under	27c	74.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Under	27c	74.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.07	293	38.2%112 W · 181 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc89b…d649backed Over	72c	69.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	35c	68.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.26	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under	27c	60$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2e…4fe6backed Over	71c	55$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.05	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	74c	54.2$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.93	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb99d…e4e5backed Over	63c	47.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…6f39backed Under	67c	44.3$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.62	54	70.4%38 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	47c	43.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.09	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…63d5backed Under	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over	69c	40.17$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce0…7c5ebacked Over	67c	39.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.48	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	60c	39.32$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Over	38c	34.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	70c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Under	37c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over	72c	25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	72c	22.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	57c	20.86$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.07	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	59c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.38	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over	71c	17.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	70c	17.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	70c	16.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Over	70c	16.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	229	57.6%132 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee86…088fbacked Over	74c	16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	70c	15.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a93…f34cbacked Over	72c	14.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.79	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	77c	13.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.18	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5this page
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event