Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeebfa34f76476bf05e4c8019a831b69adeca56d6d1073735448728f4f93723a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 2c | 19,585$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.49 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 16,723$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Over | 7c | 8,378$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.94 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…f5f0backed Over | 8c | 6,000$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 3c | 5,972$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Over | 8c | 4,713$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 5c | 4,153$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 3,420$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Over | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 2c | 2,524$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Over | 5c | 2,250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 10c | 2,082$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 6c | 1,995$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 11c | 1,746$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 12c | 1,522$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.69 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 1,075$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 2c | 1,038$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 10c | 968.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 3c | 919$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…069ebacked Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…9762backed Over | 7c | 901.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 3c | 624.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 7c | 555.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 7c | 329.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 11c | 305.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 11c | 276$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 9c | 256.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd007…8eedbacked Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Over | 8c | 171$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 12c | 169.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Over | 10c | 158.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…6156backed Over | 13c | 112.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.