TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,613 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99d7…6435backed Over75c826.45$620 inLost-$619.8485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under27c723.28$199 inWon+$524.698,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba76…e0d7backed Over73c572.91$417 inLost-$417.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c389.66$97 inWon+$292.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c324.38$81 inWon+$243.843,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over76c145.56$110 inLost-$110.161,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c120$14 inWon+$106.42,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under25c117$29 inWon+$87.752,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over76c82.64$62 inLost-$62.462,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under43c75$32 inWon+$42.672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8048…5c85backed Over73c68.49$50 inLost-$506334.9%22 W · 41 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over76c68$52 inLost-$51.891,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…e7f0backed Over73c67.56$49 inLost-$49.328748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c64.55$27 inWon+$37.262,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Under25c61.38$15 inWon+$46.046618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over80c59$47 inLost-$47.071,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost-$3019932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over75c43$32 inLost-$32.1765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under25c40$10 inWon+$303,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over74c25.96$19 inLost-$19.211,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over75c23.33$17 inLost-$17.51,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under53c21$11 inWon+$9.8782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over74c20.53$15 inLost-$15.121,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.