Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8d3313fbf50b8fcdbfd802e5bec14e6117e860e4f5d925a18399d08d7251ac

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,483 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	35c	8,133$2,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,868.85	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	65c	7,576$4,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,669.18	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	7,012$5,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,851.43	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.99	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	28c	2,037$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.77	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	64c	1,466$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.71	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	65c	1,250$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.99	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	65c	881.85$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.11	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over	35c	857.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over	35c	809.79$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.43	141	34.8%49 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	4c	800$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	65c	712.97$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.54	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over	14c	673.29$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.26	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	16c	656.46$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.71	483	28%135 W · 348 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Over	37c	600.43$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…0d1bbacked Over	34c	600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	65c	589.15$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.2	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	35c	530$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.5	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under	65c	505.3$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.85	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over	34c	499.98$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over	10c	499.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under	63c	484.43$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.24	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Over	23c	439.65$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.12	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over	35c	428.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	65c	400$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	75c	378.45$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.32	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	64c	304.34$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.53	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf799…6255backed Under	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	64cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	30c	263.23$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.97	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	35c	196.84$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.89	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	31c	180.58$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.98	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over	35c	159.09$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	66c	158.56$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.33	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d13…d163backed Over	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-85%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	65c	113.73$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.79	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b36…d80cbacked Over	36c	111.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e85…418dbacked Over	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	65c	99.25$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.69	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65fa…389fbacked Over	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	17c	81$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	35c	80$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a9…e29ebacked Over	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	79	27.8%22 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over	36c	65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	257	54.5%140 W · 117 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x137f…ad22backed Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	30c	55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Over	36c	51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	233	43.3%101 W · 132 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Under	64c	46.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.84	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…c14bbacked Over	34c	44.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	66c	39.92$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.57	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	63c	37.85$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	66c	34.64$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	258	57%147 W · 111 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	36c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	65c	23.46$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under	66c	21.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	238	66.8%159 W · 79 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed Under	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	75	62.7%47 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under	65c	19.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.98	276	63%174 W · 102 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under	65c	18.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.46	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	64c	16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.76	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	67c	15.58$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5this page
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Saudi Arabia won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event