TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$540,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c159,670$84,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,490.414,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over49c100,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.999747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over48c47,705$23,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,050.2764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c47,382$19,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,758.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c38,467$16,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,881.812,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under9c27,500$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,02510840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c26,292$12,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,543.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under44c11,364$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,402.992,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under30c10,586$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,451.94431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c9,573$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7319218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under70c8,772$6,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.1544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Under31c6,552$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.665959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over34c6,227$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.9632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over72c6,222$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.8177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c5,001$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.862,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under8c5,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under29c3,744$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.2417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over54c3,509$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.9824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under9c3,408$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.051,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c3,165$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under10c3,150$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under8c3,051$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.541,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over14c2,523$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under11c2,437$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.1524626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Under17c2,200$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.992744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under15c1,847$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.0427845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1413731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over52c1,549$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.8716953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over48c1,472$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.181,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…1028backed Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under55c1,135$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.855543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under56c1,114$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over57c1,102$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under9c1,099$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.293228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under29c1,097$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.558341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7494…ee81backed Under16c1,074$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.562133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda7b…eef9backed Under16c1,048$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.76426.6%17 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7905139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under8c999.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9832642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Over51c986.12$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under18c973.22$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under52c951.81$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.1233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under12c939.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.8224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over36c934.26$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8312343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under29c926.31$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6813736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c920.96$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.572,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over9c857.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under29c832$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.7223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under48c757.19$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.551,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under27c706$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.9882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under9c679.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.091,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Over37c678.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under28c611.49$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over53c607$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.248045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over57c575$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under70c570.62$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x096f…5984backed Over4c557.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Under36c550.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7214244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Under9c543.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.336425%16 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under37c530.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.912052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over3c503$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Under29c501.52$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0810230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Under50c497.96$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5818453.8%99 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a2…dbbcbacked Over49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over3c423.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over69c419.49$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.381,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94b7…768cbacked Under76c403.58$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.195457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over45c399.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over48c393.13$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6234247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71af…6b3dbacked Under18c377.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c365.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under27c356.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.961,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under10c353.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0343139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over52c340$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.829558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over53c320.82$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.161,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over37c309.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8825741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549118.7%17 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7f…2f7cbacked Under74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over38c299.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11433544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda5…bcf6backed Over51c292.16$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over10c287.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9111126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56c…bdd5backed Under29c275.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.862646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over53c261.45$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5710740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over10c254.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.12,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over40c250.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ef…5238backed Over50c249.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.553135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c238.8$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.071,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under48c230.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12033843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Over52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under50c228.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4526146%120 W · 141 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.