Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b2a815fc32ae696c21a4c2d9d59920b0cfc6bdf816f4c35c19db8807637feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Over | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 70c | 12,200$8,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.96 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 31c | 4,883$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.57 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 69c | 4,363$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.21 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 70c | 2,590$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.06 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 2,451$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 2,280$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 80c | 1,598$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.51 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 71c | 1,536$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 71c | 1,512$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.37 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 18c | 1,221$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 1,090$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.89 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 15c | 768.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 29c | 567.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 379.43$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 71c | 234.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 214.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 71c | 186$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 28c | 173$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 69c | 123.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…6adcbacked Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…e4e4backed Over | 30c | 80.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 80c | 63.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 28c | 40.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 71c | 38.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…768cbacked Under | 71c | 30.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 71c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 71c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 71c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 72c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 1.5Under won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5)Saudi Arabia won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Saudi Arabia (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.