TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Entropyof BIG Academy, Entropy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Entropy70c10,903$7,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.735759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Entropy73c8,091$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.9892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…96bbbacked Entropy51c6,925$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG Academy54c6,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51084658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG Academy23c5,645$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.282,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG Academy55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9866551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed Entropy51c4,242$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.8623356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BIG Academy28c3,914$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.272,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed BIG Academy29c3,532$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.2675438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Entropy50c3,385$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.11,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed BIG Academy40c3,306$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.4916036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy79c2,788$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.062,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Entropy71c2,697$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2522056.8%125 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Entropy45c2,666$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.321953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BIG Academy30c2,421$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.711,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BIG Academy28c2,271$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.042,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BIG Academy27c2,061$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.592,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed BIG Academy24c1,877$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6222346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe222…6019backed Entropy58c1,606$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.64450%22 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BIG Academy59c1,589$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2360434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805d…f780backed Entropy71c1,444$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked BIG Academy56c1,323$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6547836.8%176 W · 302 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Entropy44c1,288$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.2711844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Entropy80c1,254$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7314151.8%73 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Entropy45c1,202$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9394445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3995…47edbacked BIG Academy56c1,184$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6635642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Entropy59c1,138$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.153545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Entropy51c1,119$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1245065.6%295 W · 155 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Entropy42c1,104$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.289537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BIG Academy36c1,078$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.123,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Entropy73c1,050$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.995251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed BIG Academy39c1,027$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5726624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf292…a6d3backed Entropy60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Entropy69c976.97$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.352,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Entropy79c968.56$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.196744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed BIG Academy57c957.52$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.6212244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed BIG Academy19c935.91$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Entropy53c929.21$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.613371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed BIG Academy45c910$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.55558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Entropy66c891.06$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9618557.8%107 W · 78 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Entropy39c830.5$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.095,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed BIG Academy23c783.7$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2515244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Entropy65c767.1$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4820859.1%123 W · 85 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5828…b7d1backed BIG Academy22c685.65$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked BIG Academy35c684.73$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.219341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked BIG Academy26c684.48$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG Academy26c611.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.323,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked BIG Academy50c600.16$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7c…763fbacked Entropy57c583.65$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed BIG Academy55c569.06$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1137848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d29…872abacked Entropy71c561.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.755362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed BIG Academy56c560.7$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.993748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked BIG Academy22c559.98$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.841,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5b…d1ddbacked Entropy63c537.99$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.573171%22 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked BIG Academy24c537.02$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.248048.8%39 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed BIG Academy54c523.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9964554.4%351 W · 294 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Entropy64c503$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.285,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Entropy63c501.6$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8330155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Entropy44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed BIG Academy61c490.87$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29822044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed BIG Academy28c481.62$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6568059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked BIG Academy28c478.92$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked BIG Academy50c446.8$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BIG Academy24c445.74$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.931,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed BIG Academy65c429.67$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806346%29 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BIG Academy9c403.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.441,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed BIG Academy50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed BIG Academy57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22838052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked BIG Academy39c377.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4216150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BIG Academy24c368.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.092,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x872d…afcebacked BIG Academy58c367.22$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked BIG Academy51c366$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.935538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c2…b366backed BIG Academy20c362.71$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.792147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked BIG Academy54c359.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0217042.4%72 W · 98 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Entropy42c357.94$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0838841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG Academy25c348.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.635,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BIG Academy46c345.04$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.062,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked BIG Academy34c340.13$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6519548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked BIG Academy28c324.78$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9213642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ca…7d49backed Entropy80c314.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed BIG Academy20c313.76$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4421350.2%107 W · 106 L+16.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed BIG Academy30c312.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3387330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d95…8d38backed BIG Academy35c312.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BIG Academy22c312.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked BIG Academy40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BIG Academy54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16298248.3%474 W · 508 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed BIG Academy43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12954938.4%211 W · 338 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG Academy27c294.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.512,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked BIG Academy49c287.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14119642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Entropy53c287.05$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1611460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe54e…4a99backed Entropy66c266.85$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.774761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed BIG Academy24c254.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed Entropy45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6613649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed BIG Academy28c244.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9741439.1%162 W · 252 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked BIG Academy31c243.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1710947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed BIG Academy29c240$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.471,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Entropy62c238.04$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6126554.3%144 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked BIG Academy25c237.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked BIG Academy28c234.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253f…4253backed BIG Academy11c229.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.