TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0ca…7d49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$64.42
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Bbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)backed OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$196.63
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$49.42
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-Inbacked 8Sins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$83.22
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48.2%+$192.89
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$10.48
Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked GIANTX GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+260.7%+$156.44
Valorant: Team Solid vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Valorant: la Masia vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked la Masia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.