CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc060872d77ac060a0c85ddd5cadde7ec11eaffe7aa784a4579f75d3a4861462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof G2 Ares, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix | 36c | 12,749$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed G2 Ares | 64c | 11,957$7,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,682.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked G2 Ares | 64c | 11,658$7,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lilmix | 36c | 4,711$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 4,489$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.53 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed G2 Ares | 64c | 4,117$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked Lilmix | 37c | 3,934$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Lilmix | 36c | 2,651$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.82 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed G2 Ares | 67c | 1,486$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.85 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Lilmix | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Lilmix | 34c | 1,300$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.19 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lilmix | 36c | 1,143$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.41 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Lilmix | 31c | 1,090$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.26 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Lilmix | 34c | 958.82$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.82 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked G2 Ares | 62c | 913.94$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.92 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 793$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed G2 Ares | 66c | 777$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Lilmix | 35c | 772.78$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Lilmix | 35c | 755.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.27 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Lilmix | 34c | 688.72$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.56 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Lilmix | 34c | 675.44$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.79 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed G2 Ares | 38c | 606.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.65 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed G2 Ares | 61c | 577.11$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.82 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked G2 Ares | 65c | 559.24$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.14 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed G2 Ares | 62c | 495.7$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked G2 Ares | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Lilmix | 39c | 376.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked G2 Ares | 62c | 365.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked Lilmix | 34c | 334.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Lilmix | 77c | 327.44$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Lilmix | 41c | 312.11$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed G2 Ares | 65c | 309.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lilmix | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…7d49backed Lilmix | 34c | 296.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed G2 Ares | 67c | 276.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed G2 Ares | 64c | 275$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…cd39backed Lilmix | 33c | 236.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked G2 Ares | 67c | 229.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed G2 Ares | 69c | 220.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 34c | 216.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked G2 Ares | 63c | 187.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed G2 Ares | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Lilmix | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed G2 Ares | 20c | 133.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked G2 Ares | 66c | 128.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Lilmix | 34c | 119.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Lilmix | 34c | 106$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Lilmix | 34c | 104.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Lilmix | 37c | 103.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed G2 Ares | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed G2 Ares | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lilmix | 68c | 94.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 64c | 89.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Lilmix | 35c | 79.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed G2 Ares | 66c | 73.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed Lilmix | 34c | 67.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 61.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed G2 Ares | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…20bfbacked G2 Ares | 68c | 53.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed G2 Ares | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed G2 Ares | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked G2 Ares | 65c | 47.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Lilmix | 35c | 42.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked G2 Ares | 69c | 38.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lilmix | 39c | 38.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Lilmix | 34c | 36.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Lilmix | 60c | 34.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Lilmix | 35c | 30.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…7d8dbacked G2 Ares | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Ares | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed G2 Ares | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed G2 Ares | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…b1f2backed G2 Ares | 67c | 15.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…dc7abacked G2 Ares | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d6…2179backed G2 Ares | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked G2 Ares | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.