CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dda6afcf01c721daa547734b18db210fea862df93f745b6041e0b063eaa1ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof G2 Ares, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed G2 Ares | 55c | 1,278$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Lilmix | 46c | 480.09$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lilmix | 48c | 468.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lilmix | 40c | 447.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 11c | 383.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked G2 Ares | 47c | 316.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Lilmix | 51c | 253.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Lilmix | 36c | 159.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed G2 Ares | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed G2 Ares | 79c | 82.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed Lilmix | 51c | 77.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Ares | 55c | 66.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Lilmix | 36c | 55.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 45c | 41.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Lilmix | 41c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked Lilmix | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lilmix | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked G2 Ares | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 69c | 24.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…3ef5backed G2 Ares | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)Lilmix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.