TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6f2…3ef5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+58.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+650.6%+$97.59
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$41.55
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$23.64
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$68.24
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$151.74
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$52.24
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$67.89
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.69
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$9.17
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$18.71
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$19.28
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$10.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+66.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$49.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$40.25
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DNS vs LOSbacked DNS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$7.06
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$5.88
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+221.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+571.2%+$59.94
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$44.3
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$132.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.34
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team AION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+45%+$19.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Oliver Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.