TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP67c30,000$20,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,004.5175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP53c28,592$15,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,083.336453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Virtus.pro33c22,133$7,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,829.0520354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro35c12,186$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,955.891,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP65c5,800$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.9784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro40c5,762$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,455.856,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed NIP66c5,464$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.6266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro63c5,260$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.92,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Virtus.pro59c4,724$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.536450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP73c4,640$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.871,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro28c4,625$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.441,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Virtus.pro70c4,280$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28419949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro48c4,164$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.017,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro40c3,727$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.0924038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Virtus.pro34c3,700$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.9921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP46c3,660$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.262,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Virtus.pro55c3,616$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.733834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP43c3,578$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.72,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Virtus.pro38c2,630$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro51c2,574$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.91,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Virtus.pro39c2,533$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.024266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro30c2,505$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.511,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NIP66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NIP69c2,436$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.892,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked NIP42c2,429$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.121,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro54c2,425$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.145,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked NIP68c2,150$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.9925344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NIP47c2,125$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.152,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Virtus.pro52c2,041$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.127353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Virtus.pro31c2,006$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.6194645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed NIP1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Virtus.pro35c1,983$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.9438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Virtus.pro31c1,954$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.0742638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro30c1,838$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.582,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed NIP65c1,737$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.9413454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Virtus.pro50c1,686$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.798361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro46c1,648$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.452,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked NIP60c1,529$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.7243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Virtus.pro35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Virtus.pro32c1,411$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.9514846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f64…9ca2backed NIP62c1,395$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8602665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Virtus.pro78c1,320$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed NIP57c1,251$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9626360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro47c1,233$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.81,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9fe…298abacked Virtus.pro77c1,160$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked NIP51c1,136$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.632548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP46c1,130$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.533,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Virtus.pro46c1,080$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.0681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde68…5b6cbacked Virtus.pro45c1,042$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed NIP69c1,027$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.620156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP43c1,015$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.661,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Virtus.pro34c1,000$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.665,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed NIP50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd4…91f7backed Virtus.pro67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NIP74c999.47$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.072,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Virtus.pro45c991.12$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.127464.9%48 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Virtus.pro32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.552636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed Virtus.pro34c922.08$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.8111135.1%39 W · 72 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…28adbacked Virtus.pro38c919.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NIP37c908.7$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.344,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NIP66c902.63$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.7255039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Virtus.pro62c891.78$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.922770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c2…7458backed Virtus.pro18c891.58$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.583930.8%12 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Virtus.pro35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.144546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae8…63e6backed NIP26c844.51$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.792524%6 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Virtus.pro51c832$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9345754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6297…1e59backed Virtus.pro36c820$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked Virtus.pro39c818.2$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.58454.8%46 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Virtus.pro34c779.41$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.411,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Virtus.pro21c777$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3120936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Virtus.pro38c768.88$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.686657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NIP50c752.17$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.071,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Virtus.pro37c729.73$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7315637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…dfdfbacked Virtus.pro74c676.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.714042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Virtus.pro10c674.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.5740137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Virtus.pro45c674.27$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.8589046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed NIP71c667$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.484129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP33c662.37$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.983,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Virtus.pro18c650$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro25c649.21$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.522,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed NIP73c637.98$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7288330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Virtus.pro50c626.81$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.061,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked NIP43c606.31$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.582,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Virtus.pro30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Virtus.pro37c599.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.9930349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Virtus.pro31c565.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4920147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Virtus.pro37c543.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.391,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked NIP54c531$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8375833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Virtus.pro35c520$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33838052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Virtus.pro34c514.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.423652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed Virtus.pro45c510$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.910446.2%48 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Virtus.pro13c500.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.0575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Virtus.pro40c500.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.639443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NIP52c500.29$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.622,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed NIP67c500.01$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.014057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked NIP63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa102…6b5bbacked NIP64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed NIP31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Virtus.pro34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9958343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed NIP67c483.21$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.835046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.