CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fd12f7faa66b94b79b62d818cefe9a77430b539498857dd04962da698395063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Virtus.pro, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 3,128$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.32 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 64c | 2,980$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.73 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro | 7c | 1,670$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NIP | 64c | 1,115$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.45 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NIP | 67c | 782$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 494.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 58c | 406.92$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 400$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 73c | 367.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 352$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 317.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 308$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed NIP | 69c | 307.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked NIP | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 63c | 249.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde68…5b6cbacked NIP | 76c | 227.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed NIP | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed NIP | 64c | 185.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 182.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 179.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 178$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 147.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 143.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 125.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 116.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 112.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 110.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 63c | 101.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 99.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked NIP | 63c | 95.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NIP | 78c | 90.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 84.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed NIP | 74c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed NIP | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 66.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked NIP | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 52.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed NIP | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked NIP | 67c | 48.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…daa2backed NIP | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked NIP | 66c | 45.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked NIP | 70c | 44.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked NIP | 74c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed NIP | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked NIP | 79c | 35.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 34.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed NIP | 76c | 30.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed NIP | 67c | 27.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 26.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NIP | 74c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NIP | 64c | 17.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed NIP | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked NIP | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.