TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2eef…28ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Anna Rogersbacked Sahaja Yamalapalli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.84
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.87
Trieste: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Bondiolibacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.2
Contrexeville: Lisa Pigato vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.47
Liege: Federico Coria vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$164.79
Contrexeville: Clara Burel vs Alicia Herrero Linanabacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovicbacked Siniakova/Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.53
Iasi: Taro Daniel vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$186
Set 1 Winner: Escorihuela vs Quevedobacked Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$345.73
Newport: Andre Ilagan vs Rio Noguchibacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$293.47
Iasi: Jerome Kym vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$81.03
Liege: Miguel Damas vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.85
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.78
Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.99
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96.63
Trieste: Michele Ribecai vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$53.24
Bogota: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayenibacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$150.78
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$104.79
Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Niels Viskerbacked Ivan Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.18
Nottingham 3: Filippo Romano vs Max Basingbacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$178.44
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$314.31
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs NIP (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$569.55
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$392.17
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$446.48
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked maybe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.59
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.66
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$218.06
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs The Last Resort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.24
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.58
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$77.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.