Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Niels Visker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc121cea6c541eaa89d28809e3709505a87fbc19a66e3c9b9d7db429d8f53a437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Ivanovof Ivan Ivanov, Niels Visker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivan Ivanov | 55c | 5,476$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niels Visker | 48c | 5,189$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Niels Visker | 47c | 3,410$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.83 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ivan Ivanov | 54c | 2,739$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.24 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ivan Ivanov | 79c | 1,687$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.62 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ivan Ivanov | 71c | 1,215$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.72 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Niels Visker | 46c | 1,112$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.45 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ivan Ivanov | 54c | 1,000$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Niels Visker | 49c | 695$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Niels Visker | 40c | 654.37$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ivan Ivanov | 62c | 612.9$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Niels Visker | 19c | 594.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels Visker | 20c | 539.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ivan Ivanov | 59c | 482.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.7 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Niels Visker | 49c | 470.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Niels Visker | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Niels Visker | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Niels Visker | 15c | 355.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Niels Visker | 31c | 313.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Niels Visker | 38c | 278.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Niels Visker | 38c | 249.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Ivanov | 56c | 235.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Niels Visker | 45c | 234.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…abe1backed Niels Visker | 19c | 226.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ivan Ivanov | 59c | 213.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ivan Ivanov | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ivan Ivanov | 68c | 186.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…28adbacked Ivan Ivanov | 61c | 159.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Niels Visker | 38c | 152.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Niels Visker | 38c | 122.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Niels Visker | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Ivan Ivanov | 63c | 120.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Ivan Ivanov | 49c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…37e3backed Niels Visker | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Niels Visker | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Niels Visker | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ivan Ivanov | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Niels Visker | 38c | 99.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ivan Ivanov | 62c | 95.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Niels Visker | 16c | 92.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Niels Visker | 55c | 82.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 80.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Niels Visker | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 72.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ivan Ivanov | 58c | 70.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Niels Visker | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ivan Ivanov | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Niels Visker | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Ivan Ivanov | 61c | 43.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…8bb9backed Niels Visker | 53c | 42.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Niels Visker | 49c | 41.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Niels Visker | 47c | 41.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ivan Ivanov | 42c | 40.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Niels Visker | 38c | 40.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ivan Ivanov | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Ivan Ivanov | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Niels Visker | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Niels Visker | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Ivan Ivanov | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Ivan Ivanov | 46c | 36.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ivan Ivanov | 63c | 36.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Niels Visker | 38c | 36.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…87b1backed Niels Visker | 33c | 35.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ivan Ivanov | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Niels Visker | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Ivan Ivanov | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Niels Visker | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Ivan Ivanov | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Niels Visker | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Ivan Ivanov | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ivan Ivanov | 70c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.