TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f06…abe1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT13330.1%40 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newport: Adam Walton vs Alex Michelsenbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Titouan Droguetbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Braunschweig: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+484.6%+$1,477.95
Trieste: Henry Bernet vs Hugo Dellienbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nottingham 3: Clement Chidekh vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.61
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$324
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$266.83
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nottingham 3: Ivan Ivanov vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.38
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$112.02
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.