TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dylan Dietrichof Otto Virtanen, Dylan Dietrich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Otto Virtanen43c54,545$23,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,390.717837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dylan Dietrich62c31,649$19,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,040.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Dylan Dietrich57c29,803$16,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,824.181,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Otto Virtanen36c27,502$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00036145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Otto Virtanen32c19,107$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.788,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dylan Dietrich69c14,648$10,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.36,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dylan Dietrich71c8,134$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.264,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked Otto Virtanen29c7,500$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1757143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dylan Dietrich37c6,419$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.722,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Otto Virtanen35c6,246$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.44,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Otto Virtanen37c6,084$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.97672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Otto Virtanen27c5,202$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Otto Virtanen66c5,108$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.2339243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dylan Dietrich54c5,010$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.078,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Dylan Dietrich40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.8237450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Otto Virtanen53c4,650$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.156,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked Dylan Dietrich72c4,296$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.4510469.2%72 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Otto Virtanen60c4,185$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.8213025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Dylan Dietrich40c3,883$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.9692237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dylan Dietrich50c3,210$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Otto Virtanen23c3,047$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Otto Virtanen64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92010246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Otto Virtanen40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Dylan Dietrich34c1,766$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.195,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Dylan Dietrich34c1,619$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.0632333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Otto Virtanen61c1,529$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.8433256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Dylan Dietrich36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.622,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dylan Dietrich65c1,499$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.299,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Dylan Dietrich77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2922647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Otto Virtanen58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Otto Virtanen31c1,201$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.041,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Dylan Dietrich72c1,185$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.392,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Otto Virtanen34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dylan Dietrich70c1,117$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.252,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Otto Virtanen37c1,079$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Otto Virtanen29c1,071$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5829649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Otto Virtanen58c1,049$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5425764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Otto Virtanen22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22028437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d8…698bbacked Otto Virtanen67c965.32$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6443372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Dylan Dietrich42c947.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7626546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Otto Virtanen58c942.5$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6561152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Otto Virtanen53c914.04$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.681,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Dylan Dietrich63c864.36$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.75,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Dylan Dietrich79c837.76$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9325854.3%140 W · 118 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Otto Virtanen62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Otto Virtanen56c785.13$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.676750.7%34 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Dylan Dietrich48c733$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.364,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Otto Virtanen66c700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46270652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Dylan Dietrich71c678.13$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6630056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Otto Virtanen67c619.85$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.8114848.6%72 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Otto Virtanen33c613.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Dylan Dietrich34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3967,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…692abacked Dylan Dietrich35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.438148.1%39 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Otto Virtanen38c562.6$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.843,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Dylan Dietrich38c529.32$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.462,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Otto Virtanen21c522.18$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.171,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Dylan Dietrich40c508.76$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.722,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Otto Virtanen67c507.63$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7117646%81 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Dylan Dietrich34c502.38$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…8c57backed Otto Virtanen58c500.22$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.137335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Otto Virtanen59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29565840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Otto Virtanen20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004318.6%8 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dylan Dietrich30c485$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.16,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Dylan Dietrich35c470$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Otto Virtanen43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Otto Virtanen53c464$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5856153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6560…a77cbacked Otto Virtanen37c459.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Otto Virtanen33c455.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.931,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Otto Virtanen22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f06…abe1backed Otto Virtanen22c447.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013330.1%40 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Dylan Dietrich43c416.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7131443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dylan Dietrich64c401.87$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.633,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dylan Dietrich66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Dylan Dietrich34c399.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9951744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Otto Virtanen34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13611037.3%41 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47bc…003abacked Otto Virtanen28c377.27$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.92142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Otto Virtanen26c369.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9848242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Otto Virtanen39c358.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Otto Virtanen37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.548637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Dylan Dietrich39c346.15$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.151,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed Otto Virtanen29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5142…0845backed Otto Virtanen54c344.08$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18613248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Dylan Dietrich75c340.48$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6712863.3%81 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Otto Virtanen60c338.33$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20312748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Otto Virtanen65c330.03$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.523,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Otto Virtanen25c329.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.121,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Otto Virtanen62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Otto Virtanen31c318.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.742,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Otto Virtanen47c316.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Otto Virtanen32c316.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.692145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Dylan Dietrich68c311.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.191,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Otto Virtanen65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Otto Virtanen57c294.51$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8738446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Otto Virtanen31c277.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.062,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe14…1394backed Otto Virtanen34c276.47$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Otto Virtanen35c274.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.081,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Otto Virtanen60c273.57$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.142,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Dylan Dietrich41c268.15$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.491,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Otto Virtanen23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.54,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Otto Virtanen57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.516551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.