Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8800d6a1b43bcaa618863e80a0c7a0b93401a3ef5369b60d9ead0da22a47ce52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Mejiaof Nicolas Mejia, Juan Pablo Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Nicolas Mejia | 68c | 61,124$41,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,462.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 24c | 50,484$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 10,823$7,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Nicolas Mejia | 80c | 5,939$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.07 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…2d39backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 37c | 4,532$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 36c | 2,547$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.06 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 37c | 2,009$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 20c | 1,849$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.83 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolas Mejia | 62c | 1,812$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.97 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320d…f4ebbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 29c | 1,663$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolas Mejia | 77c | 1,580$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.08 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 1,488$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.03 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 13c | 1,101$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 925.47$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 924.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…abe1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 24c | 881.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…f3d0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 11c | 830.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 779.31$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 774.31$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.49 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 31c | 773.57$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 745.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 17c | 738.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 29c | 591.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 584.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 14c | 541.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 13c | 470.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 14c | 428.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 26c | 408.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 380.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 37c | 377.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 33c | 357.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Nicolas Mejia | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 331.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 327.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 34c | 323.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…9779backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 256.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 27c | 250.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 248.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 10c | 246.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 244.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 26c | 223.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 34c | 222.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Nicolas Mejia | 61c | 221.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 12c | 215.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 215.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 35c | 214$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 26c | 201.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…ee4abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 191.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 28c | 186.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…55afbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 25c | 185.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Mejia | 61c | 174.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 168.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Nicolas Mejia | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 162 | 57.4%93 W · 69 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…9cc3backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 13c | 165.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 34c | 158.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Nicolas Mejia | 72c | 154.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 153.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Nicolas Mejia | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 35c | 128$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 36c | 127.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 37c | 119.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 69c | 112.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 21c | 110.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 32c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 36c | 108.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Nicolas Mejia | 77c | 107.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 28c | 107.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Nicolas Mejia | 74c | 101.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nicolas Mejia | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 22c | 99.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 32c | 96.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Nicolas Mejia | 65c | 96.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 22c | 95.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd59…c0cfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 13c | 95.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Nicolas Mejia | 79c | 88.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 71c | 88.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…9b12backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 43c | 77.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 35c | 76.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 31c | 76.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Juan Pablo Varillasthis page
- Mejia vs. Varillas: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Mejia vs. Varillas: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Mejia vs VarillasMejia won
- Set Handicap: Mejia (-1.5) vs Varillas (+1.5)Varillas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.