TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ac6…e020

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
371
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT34761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 347 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geertsbacked Jay Dylan Friend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Roehampton 2: Patrick Zahraj vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Winston-Salem Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanchbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.39
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.89
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.71
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinezbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wongbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.34
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$20.64
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Charles Broombacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+52%+$44.5
Prague 2: Filip Jianu vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.25
Sion: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Lucio Rattibacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesanabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$21.23
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.77
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.01
Hamburg: Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moellerbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$44.81
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.3
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Hamburg: Carlos Taberner vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Showing 25 of 347 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$9.38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.62
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$9.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$9.78
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$20.49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$12.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$15.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.