Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Patrick Zahraj vs Patrick Brady
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51d14e607de09de8e7389f3af53f30449c44fb037cffbd7c0436c89d70c283a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patrick Bradyof Patrick Zahraj, Patrick Brady
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Patrick Zahraj | 3c | 24,884$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.83 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Patrick Zahraj | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ff71backed Patrick Zahraj | 1c | 5,692$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…31c7backed Patrick Zahraj | 9c | 2,644$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Patrick Zahraj | 22c | 1,303$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Patrick Zahraj | 14c | 956.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Patrick Zahraj | 5c | 851.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…28c6backed Patrick Zahraj | 25c | 760.8$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Patrick Brady | 75c | 442.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Patrick Brady | 69c | 287.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 254.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Patrick Brady | 68c | 231.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Patrick Zahraj | 24c | 225.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Patrick Zahraj | 22c | 179.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Patrick Brady | 69c | 159.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 134$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Patrick Zahraj | 32c | 126$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Patrick Zahraj | 32c | 125.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Patrick Zahraj | 30c | 98.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Patrick Brady | 69c | 89.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Patrick Zahraj | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Patrick Zahraj | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Patrick Zahraj | 27c | 53.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Patrick Zahraj | 23c | 53.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…5c15backed Patrick Brady | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Patrick Zahraj | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Patrick Brady | 76c | 48.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 46.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 224 | 57.6%129 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Patrick Zahraj | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Patrick Brady | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Patrick Brady | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Patrick Brady | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Patrick Brady | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Patrick Brady | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Patrick Brady | 73c | 24.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…3521backed Patrick Brady | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Patrick Brady | 76c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Patrick Brady | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 304 | 65.5%199 W · 105 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Patrick Brady | 64c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.