TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Javier Barranco Cosanoof Javier Barranco Cosano, Martin Krumich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Javier Barranco Cosano29c21,005$6,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,913.8962956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Martin Krumich43c13,953$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00073239.5%289 W · 443 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Martin Krumich39c12,722$5,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.318,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb035…ff78backed Javier Barranco Cosano77c11,617$8,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.82259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Javier Barranco Cosano55c4,663$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.2448555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Javier Barranco Cosano60c3,999$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.646,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Javier Barranco Cosano56c3,122$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.162,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Martin Krumich33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Martin Krumich41c2,972$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.324,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Javier Barranco Cosano78c2,530$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6525255.2%139 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Martin Krumich75c2,525$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.4734145.2%154 W · 187 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbef0…47d5backed Martin Krumich44c2,167$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Martin Krumich16c1,755$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.4557522.1%127 W · 448 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Javier Barranco Cosano52c1,657$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.38,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Martin Krumich77c1,625$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.664,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Martin Krumich40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52032337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Javier Barranco Cosano56c1,193$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.0411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a31…ddc0backed Javier Barranco Cosano9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.113625%9 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Javier Barranco Cosano18c1,108$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.5413918.7%26 W · 113 L+0.3wins0.00per pick18cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7170…b37bbacked Martin Krumich69c978.28$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.051752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Martin Krumich10c962$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Javier Barranco Cosano23c870$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.944950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Martin Krumich43c848.87$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0174343.7%325 W · 418 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Javier Barranco Cosano16c821.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.859232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Javier Barranco Cosano52c776.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.222536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Martin Krumich42c752.8$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.381,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Martin Krumich14c713.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.964163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Javier Barranco Cosano24c683.34$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.841,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Javier Barranco Cosano31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4146,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Martin Krumich62c599.9$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9451344.4%228 W · 285 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Martin Krumich16c599.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.813822.5%31 W · 107 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Martin Krumich11c579.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0621854.6%119 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Martin Krumich37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023360.1%140 W · 93 L+21.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Javier Barranco Cosano72c516.94$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.942,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Javier Barranco Cosano64c511.25$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Martin Krumich15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758326.5%22 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Javier Barranco Cosano71c499.78$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.349,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Martin Krumich61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Martin Krumich28c476.72$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9813531.1%42 W · 93 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Martin Krumich40c460$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.817136.3%62 W · 109 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Martin Krumich37c450$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.56527.7%18 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Martin Krumich37c450$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.513438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Martin Krumich40c440$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.815733.1%52 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec21…33dcbacked Martin Krumich40c440$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.83729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Martin Krumich40c440$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.814936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb0…9fdbbacked Martin Krumich40c440$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.81717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Martin Krumich40c439.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.85332.1%17 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Martin Krumich40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608027.5%22 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Martin Krumich40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc144…c809backed Martin Krumich25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010730.8%33 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Martin Krumich40c380$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.415437%57 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa261…af5bbacked Javier Barranco Cosano79c359$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6312055.8%67 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Javier Barranco Cosano72c356.08$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.772,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Martin Krumich47c355.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.492,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Javier Barranco Cosano29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8316856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b82…32fcbacked Martin Krumich34c341.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Martin Krumich63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Martin Krumich80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24053044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Javier Barranco Cosano34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19845251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad39…7cf5backed Martin Krumich4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+100.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Javier Barranco Cosano68c292.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2520650%103 W · 103 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Martin Krumich43c290.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Martin Krumich10c285$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.511853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Javier Barranco Cosano40c270.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4225544.3%113 W · 142 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Martin Krumich37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Martin Krumich69c254.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17590454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Martin Krumich55c244.77$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.761,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Martin Krumich27c242.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523831.5%75 W · 163 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Martin Krumich50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029652.4%155 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Martin Krumich43c232.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Martin Krumich45c230.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.251,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Martin Krumich17c229.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.022850%14 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Martin Krumich49c227.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.961,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Javier Barranco Cosano75c225.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8515374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Martin Krumich41c217.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014240.1%57 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe75…5af2backed Javier Barranco Cosano70c209$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.710562.9%66 W · 39 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Javier Barranco Cosano31c200.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.682,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Martin Krumich43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5abe…d360backed Martin Krumich43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868840.9%36 W · 52 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9845…9d6fbacked Martin Krumich43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8206…4826backed Martin Krumich43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd9…d57cbacked Martin Krumich25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fa…5fa9backed Martin Krumich17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Martin Krumich40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f15…bf6ebacked Martin Krumich43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-88.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Martin Krumich16c199.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351441.8%215 W · 299 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Martin Krumich52c197.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.461,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Javier Barranco Cosano23c195.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6536342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Martin Krumich26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506732.8%22 W · 45 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Martin Krumich43c190$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.711540%46 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Javier Barranco Cosano55c182.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.384,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Martin Krumich29c180.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6633228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0947…a830backed Martin Krumich12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011024.5%27 W · 83 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Martin Krumich61c163$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.431,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Javier Barranco Cosano31c159.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.65,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Martin Krumich22c155.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4415632.1%50 W · 106 L+16.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Martin Krumich19c154.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…db60backed Martin Krumich30c147.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.751428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+91.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e1…98dbbacked Martin Krumich29c137.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.217852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Javier Barranco Cosano70c133.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.065,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.