Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c58d5d521646b9c1d10efc5f539023f566cdfc499e717d54431e53cb861a853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadb5…e421backed No | 0c | 4,731$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 10c | 539.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 6c | 529.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.44 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 462.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.95 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 51c | 401.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 48c | 354.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 307.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 30c | 284.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 46c | 256.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 35c | 236.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 216.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 67c | 214$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed Yes | 34c | 182.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 39c | 157.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 37c | 144$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 56c | 136.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 118.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 54c | 118.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 112.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 153 | 28.1%43 W · 110 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 55c | 96.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 39c | 85.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 75c | 84.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 59c | 83.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4360backed Yes | 58c | 80.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…8495backed Yes | 29c | 77.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 52c | 74.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 50c | 74.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 49c | 61.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 48c | 60.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 54c | 57.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 58c | 54.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 76c | 52.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed Yes | 37c | 50.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…5e99backed No | 72c | 50.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…9649backed Yes | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…83f3backed Yes | 29c | 48.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 63c | 47.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 44.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 62c | 42.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 74c | 41.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 62c | 40.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…751ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 34c | 39.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…1e7bbacked Yes | 56c | 37.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 92 | 70.7%65 W · 27 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…e367backed No | 75c | 36.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed No | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 47c | 36.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 45c | 35.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 71c | 35.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…bb32backed No | 72c | 34.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…ecedbacked Yes | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 58c | 32.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…1929backed Yes | 31c | 32.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 55c | 29.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…5301backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 85.5%59 W · 10 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 68c | 27.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Yes | 57c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…2dbfbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 72c | 24.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…6599backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 94 | 7.4%7 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…5115backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddc…6426backed No | 74c | 21.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 71.8%74 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…77c0backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…8917backed Yes | 56c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 62c | 19.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 67c | 19.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…56cabacked No | 69c | 15.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.