Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geerts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc37eeef463ec1da7ae3f119b82317ab1afea2949c3684c93250ac2b7436ae81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jay Dylan Friendof Jay Dylan Friend, Michael Geerts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Michael Geerts | 1c | 9,158$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 8,950$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.74 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Michael Geerts | 33c | 5,698$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.82 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Geerts | 26c | 5,518$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.14 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Michael Geerts | 40c | 5,000$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.25 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Michael Geerts | 2c | 3,789$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jay Dylan Friend | 72c | 2,920$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.75 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Michael Geerts | 20c | 2,100$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.01 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Geerts | 11c | 1,204$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Michael Geerts | 1c | 1,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 211 | 17.5%37 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Jay Dylan Friend | 62c | 841.12$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.93 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 665.06$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jay Dylan Friend | 62c | 600.39$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 78c | 470.75$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Michael Geerts | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Geerts | 19c | 412.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Michael Geerts | 37c | 321.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Michael Geerts | 4c | 310.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Michael Geerts | 29c | 284.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Michael Geerts | 19c | 258.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 138 | 22.5%31 W · 107 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 233.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Michael Geerts | 12c | 219.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 80c | 202.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Michael Geerts | 34c | 152.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Michael Geerts | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 866 | 35.5%307 W · 559 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 142.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michael Geerts | 35c | 114.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 106.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 75c | 93.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 74.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Michael Geerts | 36c | 74.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Jay Dylan Friend | 73c | 72.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Jay Dylan Friend | 79c | 64.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 361 | 46.3%167 W · 194 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…188abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 74c | 64.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Michael Geerts | 35c | 64.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 64.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Michael Geerts | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 66.9%89 W · 44 L | +16.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Michael Geerts | 34c | 55.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Jay Dylan Friend | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 316 | 54.4%172 W · 144 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 793 | 56.2%446 W · 347 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Michael Geerts | 38c | 45.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 39.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jay Dylan Friend | 70c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…e290backed Jay Dylan Friend | 65c | 30.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Jay Dylan Friend | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Michael Geerts | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Jay Dylan Friend | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Michael Geerts | 37c | 28.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Michael Geerts | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Jay Dylan Friend | 61c | 27.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 312 | 50.6%158 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…5c15backed Jay Dylan Friend | 63c | 26.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Jay Dylan Friend | 68c | 26.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jay Dylan Friend | 64c | 21.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Jay Dylan Friend | 62c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Jay Dylan Friend | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Jay Dylan Friend | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 141 | 87.2%123 W · 18 L | +30.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.