TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof France, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,828,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,999,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,828,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 10,277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b4…7320backed Spain44c10,980,912$4,885,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,095,389.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…43fabacked France47c2,002,996$945,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945,675.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spain43c1,864,923$809,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055,861.2277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Spain65c1,232,662$806,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425,942.9874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed France55c1,231,231$680,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680,255.1211642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Spain40c1,126,189$453,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672,389.9933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spain42c990,654$413,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577,339.689142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France58c958,466$555,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555,891.462,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed France52c852,082$444,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France49c818,180$400,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400,474.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Spain50c773,548$388,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385,143.465334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Spain41c700,000$284,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415,803.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Spain41c700,000$285,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Spain42c683,519$283,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399,858.823360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x157e…add7backed France29c618,544$180,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed France58c617,703$358,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358,010.475451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked Spain41c598,050$242,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355,569.47343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed France56c573,524$318,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318,341.0410653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5f…2e21backed Spain43c548,603$235,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313,083.41060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked France60c501,876$299,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,149.11540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed France58c458,500$266,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,224.967114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Spain41c450,004$184,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265,502.343844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x954d…6f01backed Spain40c450,000$182,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267,874.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed France59c402,510$236,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,787.0417949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5734…a1b1backed France56c391,601$220,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220,186.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed France55c368,282$202,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,459.6517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Spain69c324,459$224,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,742.823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd728…9e9bbacked France60c323,378$193,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,830.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed France56c300,000$168,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168,75015552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked France59c270,000$160,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,399.922147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Spain66c254,528$167,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,365.694667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8517backed Spain41c254,440$104,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,405.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Spain43c250,000$107,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,499.888063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked France57c247,637$140,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,220.0820448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Spain41c246,914$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,913.586524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed France56c246,583$139,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,202.9622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed France47c246,021$114,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,909.7721836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Spain61c245,078$149,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,572.394748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed France24c231,790$56,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,725.3624526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked France57c225,400$127,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,868.4718738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France59c223,120$130,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,968.921,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910e…8fc3backed France26c222,337$57,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,800633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed France28c221,077$61,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,223.613941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked France60c209,611$125,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,164.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed France54c205,248$110,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,363.7117733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed France59c200,696$118,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,660.735967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain44c200,258$88,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,661.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Spain44c200,000$87,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,999.9915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked France5c193,429$10,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,048.264949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba7…00efbacked France59c183,764$108,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,014.861145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Spain44c183,224$80,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,199.0770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe2…56e9backed France59c180,575$107,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,301.771040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked France56c177,299$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked France58c169,219$98,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,147.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed France52c168,930$87,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,538.125322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Spain41c150,000$60,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,2505959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed France58c150,000$86,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,624.882560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa849…f644backed France60c148,552$88,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,759.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6a…458ebacked France35c144,710$50,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,493.431625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spain40c144,443$57,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,665.7242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed France56c143,512$79,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,999.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed France41c137,810$57,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,157.113448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Spain45c134,078$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,078.2132429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a7…504ebacked France60c124,547$74,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,727.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1153…df79backed France60c123,734$73,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,931.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Spain40c123,733$49,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,240.063718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked France56c120,000$67,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,5004040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked France56c119,981$67,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,189.1213959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked France53c118,721$62,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,5003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France54c112,632$61,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,148.1920633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed France37c112,115$41,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,453.5575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spain51c110,299$55,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,573.811,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed France60c109,250$65,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,003.751947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed France41c107,980$44,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,350.4879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spain79c106,349$84,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,256.411,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spain41c102,680$42,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,439.7810548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed France0c100,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked France56c100,000$55,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,75014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked France57c99,609$56,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,528.112941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed France57c98,437$55,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,616.884858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Spain58c96,428$55,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,978.7844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Spain40c96,200$38,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,659.96114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Spain57c95,926$54,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,549.721,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spain40c95,000$38,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,689.51,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France56c90,001$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,400.399131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed France56c90,000$50,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,27522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Spain43c90,000$38,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,45034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b83…e2c8backed France58c86,578$50,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,215.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a21…fb6cbacked France41c85,065$34,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,903.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Spain40c85,026$34,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,888.8324028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Spain45c84,999$37,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,174.5213742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…0a1ebacked France60c84,500$50,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,277.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed France60c83,682$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09be…9c32backed Spain73c83,314$60,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,909.88633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed France56c80,717$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,0002520%5 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed France60c80,000$47,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,6001529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Spain40c80,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,999.929948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed France53c79,080$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Spain73c78,450$56,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,531.1736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Spain48c77,000$36,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,217.354057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.