TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,416,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,472,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,416,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x361b…74febacked Over30c675,658$199,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,711.6451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under70c671,481$472,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198,561.3874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c161,015$116,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,674.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over29c154,325$44,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,769.944456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over28c46,928$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0001060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over30c31,679$9,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,345.2517840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over24c31,017$7,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,331.191,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over27c30,791$8,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,183.3275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under71c30,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7002860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Over20c27,000$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.499525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed Over29c25,467$7,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,449.142123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under78c24,130$18,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under71c22,535$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,535.211,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Over29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8003839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over29c19,539$5,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,718.211,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Under61c16,303$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,302.65158.8%30 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under71c15,639$11,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,546.772,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over22c15,552$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,49928133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over29c15,213$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,449.784932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Under71c14,134$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.284131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over29c12,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over29c11,741$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.0744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under73c11,300$8,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.7521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c10,800$7,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.411,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under61c10,000$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8756331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Under66c10,000$6,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.26259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over30c10,000$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.9620724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under71c9,999$7,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.731851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Over37c9,900$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.995234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Under71c9,888$6,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.071376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over18c9,045$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.572138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Over29c8,547$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c8,225$3,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,687.461,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under63c8,193$5,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.019839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over29c8,000$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.6647643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Over30c7,962$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.0222338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under70c7,900$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.1710653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under71c7,716$5,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.2937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8fe…8591backed Under65c7,713$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under70c7,287$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.9714250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under73c7,135$5,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.2713259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.996132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over29c6,796$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under70c5,802$4,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.261,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under71c5,700$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under75c5,583$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.742,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under74c5,416$4,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.9826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb84…6080backed Over36c5,084$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8101838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…3101backed Over30c5,042$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+92.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over25c5,035$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.6844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over30c5,000$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.0347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over30c5,000$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47512810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Under71c5,000$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.513122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over29c4,800$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over54c4,545$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.9531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under44c4,461$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.1314132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over30c4,444$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.9819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over27c4,349$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.2166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f21…a5b1backed Under71c4,317$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.472075%15 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over30c4,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c3,931$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over33c3,675$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.1839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c3,603$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Under63c3,599$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.853847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over30c3,581$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.3463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over30c3,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Under70c3,427$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.56241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over29c3,390$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Over29c3,390$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006726.9%18 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Over30c3,361$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a90…7e68backed Under71c3,350$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c3,333$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under63c3,253$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.4815149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under62c3,000$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.512862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under70c2,812$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.5736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under72c2,637$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.966660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c2,634$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.372,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Over37c2,600$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over37c2,577$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.921,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ede…59e6backed Under71c2,410$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.354266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over30c2,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a02…8b73backed Over35c2,309$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006647%31 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over8c2,296$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6838437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…ba70backed Under80c2,280$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.37955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Under66c2,242$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.793650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Under72c2,167$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.696141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6729…de70backed Over30c2,159$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Under71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.6812345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44cd…473bbacked Under71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.684669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde87…93fabacked Under71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.681315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-77.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c2,084$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over32c2,080$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.630054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over32c2,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63543248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Under71c2,000$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58526836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over30c2,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Under77c2,000$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45517845.5%81 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9911641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.989150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.