France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48847d4f8577454391ad6fb24d900ee40387ac92494e49f809c1ba6dc5c66f1a

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,014 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over	55c	3,751$2,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,063.08	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	47c	3,682$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.13	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	54c	2,926$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.02	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	32c	2,830$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,911.23	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Under	53c	2,259$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.64	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	30c	2,235$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.61	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	77c	1,913$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465.41	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	22c	1,893$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.61	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	1,740$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.64	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	54c	1,108$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.31	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over	49c	1,054$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	54c	969.19$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.63	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	45c	943$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.72	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under	53c	822.67$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.66	146	55.5%81 W · 65 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3c…16e7backed Over	67c	751.48$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	55c	657$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.86	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	56c	578.81$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.27	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	58c	558.66$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.36	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	60c	540.83$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.3	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	60c	540$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.12	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under	25c	526.24$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.14	245	40.4%99 W · 146 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under	49c	508.04$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.24	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	31c	493.23$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.32	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under	51c	488.34$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.32	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over	54c	422.28$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.97	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under	50c	400.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.25	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+7.0wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	54c	375.48$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.6	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under	36c	363.64$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.73	87	31%27 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a1d…78d4backed Under	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under	36c	313.38$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.56	101	37.6%38 W · 63 L	+14.5wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under	50c	276.59$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.57	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Under	51c	270.84$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.71	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	17c	251.46$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.86	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Under	16c	250$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under	47c	214.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.69	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b51bbacked Over	51c	197.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	43c	164.17$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.22	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	52c	160$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	45c	135.65$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.61	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	21c	120$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.8	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac5a…1ac8backed Under	36c	119.42$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.43	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	22cpaid	+42%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Under	34c	117.65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.65	123	39%48 W · 75 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over	50c	114.52$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.26	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Over	47c	104.26$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.77	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	49c	93.68$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.78	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under	45c	91.32$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.23	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	66c	86.66$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.56	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	22c	75$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.55	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	47c	67.05$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.52	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	54c	66.9$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.77	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x324f…15b1backed Under	50c	64.26$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	76	63.2%48 W · 28 L	+7.2wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Under	35c	55.58$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.13	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Over	48c	54.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28b…6b6ebacked Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	53c	52.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	49c	52.39$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.72	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	25c	50$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…ef1bbacked Over	47c	48.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dce…dcc3backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	47c	41.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a5…406bbacked Over	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Under	59c	39.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.46	142	25.4%36 W · 106 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	50c	38.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	113	29.2%33 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3b…5af6backed Under	58c	33.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	38c	30.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.43	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under	50c	25.64$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.77	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under	49c	24.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	90	64.4%58 W · 32 L	+11.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2cd…f455backed Under	55c	24.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	74c	21.48$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Over	65c	16.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	172	29.1%50 W · 122 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event