Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655bc6e8974c73c5fa3ab8db6bc49e1f1002363761e54d0fb7fe3545e596e280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 55c | 3,016$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.6 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 77c | 1,242$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 21c | 968.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 24c | 865.62$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under | 75c | 828.58$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 78c | 768$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 78c | 724.23$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 523.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 446.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 404$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…0023backed Under | 79c | 333$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…9088backed Under | 76c | 330.67$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 30c | 298.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 71c | 279.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…2aecbacked Under | 15c | 266.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.66 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 260.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 21c | 259.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 51c | 233.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 225.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 217.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…b180backed Over | 21c | 212.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…214ebacked Over | 29c | 208.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 165.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 63c | 124$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 64c | 120.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 73c | 114.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 23c | 104.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 26c | 102.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 79c | 96.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 77c | 85.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…0280backed Over | 25c | 78.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 29c | 57.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Over | 31c | 40.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…8294backed Under | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.