TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$511,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Over5c99,809$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.4574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over4c50,163$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over6c13,808$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over4c13,459$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.765320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfb…f0ffbacked Over6c9,855$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c9,387$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over6c8,271$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.851,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over6c7,503$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.821,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over4c6,907$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4858530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over6c6,666$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6219037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Over6c5,420$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.21226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over6c4,978$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.3272722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c4,768$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over5c4,764$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over5c3,849$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4636031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over6c3,507$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over6c3,479$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8932922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over3c3,257$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.81,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over6c2,857$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.414422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over4c2,828$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1317659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over5c2,736$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over3c2,690$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over6c2,462$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over5c2,329$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over3c2,103$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7846230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-82.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over6c1,798$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over6c1,760$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4938437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…181bbacked Over6c1,700$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.25119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c1,571$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.212,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over5c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc8…d13dbacked Over7c1,468$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.422646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over6c1,280$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over4c1,220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Over5c1,194$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.681756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Over5c1,126$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.93420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over6c1,085$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4487938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6408…63fabacked Over7c1,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over6c935.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.861,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over7c900$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Over6c899.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55824.1%14 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over6c843$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.341,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over6c842.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over6c834.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9968141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over6c800$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over6c779.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3519038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…5c45backed Over6c769.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over5c765$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…96a3backed Over6c756.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over5c749.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.379830.6%30 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over6c700$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4247127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over6c640$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010534.3%36 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over5c639.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.130039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over6c599$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over6c577$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.622,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over5c540.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over3c499.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Over4c499.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.25238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over6c480$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x074a…f8a3backed Over6c442.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513019.2%25 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Over3c421$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0145627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Over7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295819%11 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e34…12c1backed Over5c368.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over6c347.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over5c340$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over6c334.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Over6c320$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206816.2%11 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ba…95e2backed Over6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Over6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.259319.4%18 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Over6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa590…d2bdbacked Over6c240$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over6c240$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ef…b3debacked Over7c216.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.762326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Over6c209.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.116929%20 W · 49 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Over6c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over6c199.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…5b63backed Over6c192$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210419.2%20 W · 84 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over6c191.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.493655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over6c184.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1134…e391backed Over6c160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over6c160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid+9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over6c160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.