Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d7df7a10ec00a49c8059b35f79e95518349db01b0038b949126d0ce2fffb4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Over | 11c | 21,816$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.57 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Over | 10c | 16,800$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 12c | 7,482$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Over | 10c | 4,556$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.6 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 10c | 4,407$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.72 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 4,250$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 3,132$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 10c | 2,404$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.82 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 4c | 2,304$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Over | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 6c | 1,248$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 9c | 1,234$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 10c | 1,049$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 12c | 1,040$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 8c | 999.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 11c | 781.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 10c | 557.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Over | 11c | 550.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 11c | 528.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 11c | 477$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 11c | 477$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 11c | 454.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Over | 11c | 448.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 10c | 409.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Over | 11c | 396.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 11c | 379.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 361.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Over | 11c | 327.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 10c | 308.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Over | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 8c | 231.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…3f72backed Over | 11c | 223.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 12c | 194.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…7590backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 9c | 143.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 11c | 138.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9646…2dcdbacked Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…275bbacked Over | 11c | 114.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 10c | 112.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 11c | 104.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…b3debacked Over | 17c | 96.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.