Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c918f72723226d8614d8f049acdc14f990a24d613f47e031abcf2dff000f50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb754…96dfbacked Under | 60c | 16,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 11,625$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,920.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 59c | 6,887$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.11 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 40c | 5,044$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.4 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Over | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Over | 41c | 1,039$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…32fcbacked Over | 41c | 729.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.69 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 633.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 40c | 390$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…558fbacked Over | 41c | 368.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 38c | 248.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 43c | 233.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…80dabacked Under | 60c | 220.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 10c | 210.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 200.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 177.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Under | 58c | 167.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…89cabacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 60c | 165.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Under | 60c | 165.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 118.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Under | 59c | 103.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 41c | 95.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b5…3de9backed Over | 40c | 93.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 60c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 82.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 65c | 81.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 41c | 81.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 60c | 75.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 41c | 65.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 60c | 58.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…caccbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…a962backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Over | 42c | 43.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 37.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Under | 59c | 34.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…fed5backed Over | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 135 | 26.7%36 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 40c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e3…c06fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Over | 64c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.