Spread: France (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5c34a67f76f57b54c2b02de07fda95fd0789e252fd595c2f27564509989cb82

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spainof France, Spain
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,180,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,997,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,180,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe549…2d54backed France	19c	299,999$57,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,999.88	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a26…7b7bbacked France	18c	157,564$28,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,350	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France	20c	141,566$27,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,849.15	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed France	19c	100,000$18,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,749.97	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a18…f4a9backed France	20c	98,275$20,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,136.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked France	18c	55,086$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked France	21c	48,142$9,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,975.62	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed France	19c	40,000$7,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,699.99	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a2…5014backed France	18c	38,900$7,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,002	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7a…3183backed France	18c	35,336$6,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,448.8	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed France	19c	29,823$5,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,790.99	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed France	20c	25,000$4,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,875	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed France	19c	25,000$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,749.97	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed France	2c	23,845$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.36	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735f…0e5bbacked France	21c	23,452$4,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,924.95	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-76%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed France	18c	20,003$3,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,541.01	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed France	18c	20,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.99	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a0…9b02backed France	19c	15,937$2,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,958.42	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed France	19c	14,862$2,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,861	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Spain	80c	14,562$11,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,932.35	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed France	19c	12,821$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France	19c	12,573$2,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,374.6	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed France	18c	11,505$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.99	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed France	18c	10,740$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France	12c	9,085$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.29	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France	18c	8,672$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,571.62	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9732…1539backed France	18c	8,280$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.63	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed France	17c	7,972$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,395.05	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed France	18c	7,777$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.86	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447f…f362backed France	14c	7,518$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.67	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed France	19c	7,383$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.13	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France	5c	7,015$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.43	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked France	18c	6,387$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.17	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed France	17c	6,286$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed France	19c	6,000$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed Spain	79c	6,000$4,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.99	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked France	6c	5,960$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.36	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France	20c	5,700$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.94	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked France	13c	5,679$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.92	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked France	5c	5,604$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb66…1cf4backed France	19c	5,509$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked France	18c	5,499$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed France	18c	5,479$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked France	18c	5,339$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.45	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked France	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed France	18c	5,250$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.13	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed France	19c	5,200$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.98	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed France	21c	5,137$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked France	19c	5,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…1a8dbacked France	21c	4,772$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.11	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed France	18c	4,500$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.74	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked France	17c	4,350$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.68	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed France	19c	4,223$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.99	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked France	19c	4,000$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed France	12c	4,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed France	19c	3,999$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.79	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed France	18c	3,948$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France	18c	3,836$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed France	21c	3,810$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed France	18c	3,478$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.12	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France	16c	3,321$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.93	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed France	18c	3,278$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed France	19c	3,150$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.13	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France	19c	3,008$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked France	20c	3,000$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked France	17c	3,000$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.5	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed France	5c	3,000$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked France	19c	3,000$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.49	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-9.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked France	12c	2,970$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-63%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked France	18c	2,817$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed France	18c	2,778$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f3…bbcbbacked France	18c	2,740$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed9…1d94backed France	18c	2,740$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed France	18c	2,714$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.82	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed France	18c	2,671$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.34	91	7.7%7 W · 84 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2282…1051backed France	20c	2,623$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.54	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed France	18c	2,607$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.02	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked France	18c	2,599$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.73	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed France	19c	2,564$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1f…b823backed France	18c	2,550$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.37	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked France	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked France	12c	2,500$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.6	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed France	20c	2,474$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.29	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25f9…1cfabacked France	20c	2,423$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.64	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed France	19c	2,374$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.31	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked France	18c	2,238$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.57	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed France	18c	2,170$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked France	19c	2,137$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.64	168	27.4%46 W · 122 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed France	19c	2,051$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed France	19c	2,000$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.67	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked France	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed France	17c	2,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.87	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked France	19c	2,000$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked France	4c	2,000$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.47	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked France	19c	1,998$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.67	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked France	19c	1,950$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.19	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed France	19c	1,795$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	208	19.7%41 W · 167 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed France	18c	1,787$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.04	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ef…2c2bbacked France	18c	1,683$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed France	18c	1,682$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	226	26.5%60 W · 166 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-1.5)this page
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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