TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No68c27,583$18,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,801.6434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No69c9,542$6,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.9430214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No69c8,971$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.7618843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c0…22b4backed Yes31c7,415$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.633036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c6,895$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.152,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Yes31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c5,304$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No73c5,137$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.3731152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Yes30c3,298$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x512b…a14ebacked Yes31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005b…cb86backed Yes7c2,203$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.44850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed No69c2,201$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.4112810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6804211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes33c1,534$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1d…1bf2backed Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No71c1,397$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0431945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No68c1,365$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.9497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4d…8cfebacked Yes9c1,100$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983318.2%6 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No68c1,094$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c1,061$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.092,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No73c1,012$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2834247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No68c945.03$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.253,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes31c936.84$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.428235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes12c888.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.761,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d0…8449backed Yes34c817.76$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c816.93$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…5a37backed Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013046.2%60 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes28c781.78$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.93,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed No69c755.59$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2117229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed No69c754.88$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No71c749.99$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1e…5443backed Yes33c746.1$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No70c728.37$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5234455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes30c709.88$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.341,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes32c687.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8f…2025backed Yes30c666.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes30c648.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad8…f24bbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Yes32c626.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011029.1%32 W · 78 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f0…a5debacked Yes31c603.23$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fdf…86f1backed Yes15c591.55$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.592114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…5b3fbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200100%0 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No69c585$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7943145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No73c560$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes29c504.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2520138.3%77 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6872…876fbacked Yes30c500.38$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.393718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No73c483.6$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6224540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes32c475.42$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.131,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58b…7d90backed Yes32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-65.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc40…af29backed No70c445.6$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.687042.9%30 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde02…661abacked Yes31c433.58$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.41944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Yes32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes35c373.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8238329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…c328backed No68c366.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c347.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.172,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5643…dd29backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+237.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88bc…403cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc07…089fbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9135…38b2backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes16c314.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2190…bee9backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004613%6 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbb…ab6bbacked Yes31c308.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6960%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea7…d174backed Yes32c301.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013045.4%59 W · 71 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ed…dd41backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995947.5%28 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+47.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d10…3bddbacked Yes10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes28c298.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6415325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d12…1a3abacked Yes32c280.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004766%31 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef1…3312backed Yes31c250.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbd…c75fbacked Yes32c249.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.921225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No68c245.63$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.25141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes7c243.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.723016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69bd…6f36backed Yes10c242.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes5c240.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.043735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x324f…15b1backed No70c240.49$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.737663.2%48 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No72c238.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.631,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No71c236.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.729150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x577d…f13dbacked Yes32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495c…a72cbacked Yes32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f1…a30fbacked Yes32c230$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.62630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf91…4c43backed Yes13c228.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610c…0011backed Yes31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d86…5073backed Yes29c207.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.13825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0802…8941backed Yes34c206.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+124.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8e…d6c5backed Yes31c203.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes23c199.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475119.6%10 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6257252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes31c194.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f70…7731backed Yes31c187.59$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Yes8c187$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.966114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad64…3886backed Yes30c184$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No67c183.71$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9346546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5975…3fe4backed Yes32c178.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa18b…e4bebacked Yes32c176.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.