TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$447,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c20,201$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c14,721$10,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,306.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over15c13,851$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.155429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c13,394$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.783,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under69c11,479$7,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over53c11,360$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c9,987$6,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.61,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c9,782$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.411,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under69c9,540$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.321,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Over30c9,097$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.248458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Over31c7,848$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.044454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c7,203$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over44c6,831$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under57c6,185$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.5821166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over31c5,973$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.6370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c5,757$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over44c4,886$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.2864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c4,807$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over45c4,551$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.5711942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c3,974$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.5374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over22c3,850$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.2225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c3,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c3,570$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.425125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c3,570$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under68c3,509$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.8786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over26c3,169$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.5519329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over47c2,951$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.267639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under70c2,908$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.410152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Under70c2,874$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.181540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under50c2,700$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35016050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over12c2,691$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.182,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under67c2,543$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.4719649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c2,500$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under69c2,340$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.4197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under69c2,319$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.847471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Under70c2,300$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over31c2,276$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.0975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over10c2,146$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.868032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over43c1,973$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under54c1,894$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.8721143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under68c1,859$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over4c1,800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under60c1,783$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.2729740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under77c1,664$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…c873backed Under68c1,622$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under69c1,576$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over32c1,575$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45c0…cf74backed Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004134.1%14 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over32c1,543$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.8813157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over22c1,518$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.783,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.288647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over18c1,431$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.022,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over31c1,416$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7913043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c1,384$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.612,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under64c1,376$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.472,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over31c1,372$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.293,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over24c1,340$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef2…a060backed Under74c1,298$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.410568.6%72 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under68c1,275$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1433149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under54c1,207$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Under51c1,168$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under74c1,133$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over13c1,129$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under62c1,126$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.313342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under50c1,085$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over47c1,081$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51029639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under59c1,068$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44065036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under51c1,044$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under68c999.98$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9922835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a05…c5cdbacked Over39c970.59$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked Over22c956.86$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.512055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over25c944.43$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.564,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over31c909.98$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0916946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over40c847.46$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under68c846$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.852,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under72c834.01$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under69c799.95$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9815147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under51c779.44$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.795450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under77c761.45$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Under50c740.51$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.262755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over26c721.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…da73backed Under69c711.26$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.935846.6%27 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over25c666.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6717827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under49c653.55$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.316749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over20c641.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under70c608.16$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0325643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655b…83b5backed Under50c598.8$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.42475%18 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under65c533.85$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8545248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c512$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.721,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over31c500.68$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2110347.6%49 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.