TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$899,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$870,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c98,017$6,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,129.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Over14c71,208$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over15c69,592$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5001060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over6c27,087$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over13c25,274$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over14c21,500$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.99230%0 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over14c12,800$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over14c9,120$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.311,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over5c8,218$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.742138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over18c7,095$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.1913738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over6c6,462$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over14c5,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.719037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over11c5,440$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.7869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over14c5,000$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dfb…f0ffbacked Over14c3,892$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over11c3,727$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.32828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over23c3,597$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.7617747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over14c3,541$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.897740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Over14c3,500$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.753063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over10c3,327$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.051,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over13c3,229$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over14c3,224$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over16c3,174$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over10c3,083$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafd…3598backed Over14c3,045$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over12c3,027$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c2,982$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…a663backed Over14c2,761$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.513151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over14c2,491$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over14c2,481$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.938329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb84…6080backed Over13c2,389$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c2,304$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over14c2,242$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over15c2,017$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.341,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Over14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over16c1,495$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over10c1,313$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4558530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c1,305$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.131,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over10c1,142$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.219250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48a4…8c2ebacked Over14c1,028$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.852245.5%10 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x285e…f38cbacked Over15c982.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.011315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over14c900$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.251020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over14c862.22$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3687938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Over14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over13c850.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7238437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over12c822$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.595320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Over12c800$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over13c798.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over14c782.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5624045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over13c728.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7710729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…5c45backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe64…9b75backed Over14c713.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over14c700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over13c677.79$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.114456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over14c552.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.593815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e27…3193backed Over13c544.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over14c535.71$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757514.7%11 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c527$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.051,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over14c521.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0711820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over14c521.88$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.631,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea7…974bbacked Over10c476.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over10c473.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1737348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over14c468.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2619442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over7c423.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2524341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over14c402.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.34422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe801…a0e8backed Over14c375.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-83.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over6c370$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.288713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x280e…b409backed Over14c364.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112818%23 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over14c363.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024226.4%64 W · 178 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…0b33backed Over14c344.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe600…f923backed Over14c321.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over14c316.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3126243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over3c314.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Under73c300$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2510551.4%54 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8527543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0114…fbfabacked Over14c293.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over14c280.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Over14c280.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over4c274.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.372,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over15c259.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2827227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under75c250.25$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9917533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under76c246$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6545740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e34…12c1backed Over14c235.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over14c222$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Over14c220$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83716.2%6 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over15c217.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.