Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Pedro Martinez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd129e3e954ffef209f001a50a5389bf3872bc75e19cabea0ed9964cd64270143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentin Royerof Valentin Royer, Pedro Martinez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pedro Martinez | 16c | 4,282$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pedro Martinez | 15c | 2,472$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Martinez | 20c | 1,744$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Valentin Royer | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.51 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Pedro Martinez | 18c | 1,195$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Pedro Martinez | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pedro Martinez | 20c | 874$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pedro Martinez | 15c | 547.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Valentin Royer | 71c | 519$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Valentin Royer | 79c | 295.51$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…21d5backed Valentin Royer | 74c | 250.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Valentin Royer | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Pedro Martinez | 12c | 197.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pedro Martinez | 28c | 140.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Valentin Royer | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Valentin Royer | 75c | 124.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Pedro Martinez | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Pedro Martinez | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Pedro Martinez | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Pedro Martinez | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 10.2%9 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Pedro Martinez | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Valentin Royer | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pedro Martinez | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Pedro Martinez | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…c501backed Pedro Martinez | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pedro Martinez | 30c | 95.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Pedro Martinez | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valentin Royer | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Valentin Royer | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pedro Martinez | 14c | 72.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Valentin Royer | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pedro Martinez | 30c | 71.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pedro Martinez | 28c | 66.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pedro Martinez | 29c | 65.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…cd69backed Valentin Royer | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pedro Martinez | 29c | 46.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Valentin Royer | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Valentin Royer | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Valentin Royer | 70c | 38.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Valentin Royer | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Valentin Royer | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Valentin Royer | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Valentin Royer | 70c | 25.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Valentin Royer | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Valentin Royer | 75c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.