Tennis · resolved market
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97b3db97ebb15dac000603f3c0870f7557e107f30bf0dc3f6e6da631556be39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Pablo Carreno Busta, Adolfo Vallejo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 1c | 110,607$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.51 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 17c | 95,655$15,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,862.82 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Adolfo Vallejo | 59c | 41,344$24,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,002.85 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 14,101$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.09 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 14,055$7,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,870.95 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 14c | 12,103$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.36 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 11,890$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 5c | 10,558$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.98 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Adolfo Vallejo | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 344 | 57.6%198 W · 146 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Adolfo Vallejo | 51c | 7,615$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.68 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 68c | 7,200$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Adolfo Vallejo | 53c | 4,976$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.6 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 17c | 4,099$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.59 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 1c | 4,020$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 3,913$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.67 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Adolfo Vallejo | 62c | 3,159$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.36 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 10c | 2,927$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.28 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 26c | 2,400$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.88 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 27c | 2,200$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.84 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 2,019$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.64 | 303 | 35.3%107 W · 196 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 23c | 1,955$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.14 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 74c | 1,859$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.08 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 1,777$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.59 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Adolfo Vallejo | 46c | 1,501$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.66 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 55c | 1,418$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.92 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 1,359$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 60.1%140 W · 93 L | +21.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 33c | 1,296$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.68 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 2c | 1,109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 43c | 1,077$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.93 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 76c | 1,076$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…d8e6backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 1,044$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Adolfo Vallejo | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.15 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 452 | 51.5%233 W · 219 L | -21.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 1c | 878.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 777.15$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.95 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 20c | 700.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 503 | 41.9%211 W · 292 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 2c | 630.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 2c | 514.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 316 | 54.4%172 W · 144 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 2c | 513.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 25c | 505$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 887 | 49.8%442 W · 445 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Adolfo Vallejo | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 350 | 38.3%134 W · 216 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 452.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 431.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 415.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 200 | 65.5%131 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 34c | 412.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 478 | 42.5%203 W · 275 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 28c | 359.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 350.14$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…7bdebacked Adolfo Vallejo | 69c | 344.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf4…488fbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 57c | 332.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Adolfo Vallejo | 47c | 257.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 58c | 237.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 224.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 222.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 222.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 8c | 207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 42c | 202.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 177.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…ec6fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 66c | 168.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 168.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 7c | 167.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…0808backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 154.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 53c | 143.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…3e71backed Adolfo Vallejo | 62c | 143.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 748 | 61.9%463 W · 285 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 39c | 129.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…e1a5backed Adolfo Vallejo | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 107$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 32c | 106.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 918 | 45.4%417 W · 501 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 53c | 90.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 85.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…fcedbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 26.2%51 W · 144 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…41efbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Pablo Carreno Busta | 36c | 67.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 288 | 48.3%139 W · 149 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Busta vs VallejoVallejo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.