TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,338,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,339,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,338,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No53c200,554$106,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,004.1374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Yes47c171,669$80,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,214.082025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No58c102,464$59,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,846.2813738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes41c81,699$33,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,301.283321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No53c80,000$42,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,6004040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes47c62,902$29,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,352.391,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes47c53,524$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No55c51,771$28,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,351.8770750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Yes46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,999.942466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Yes47c47,605$22,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,374.561936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes3c45,610$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.521,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No56c45,399$25,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,173.5546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed No69c39,580$27,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,233.984042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes47c26,596$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No53c24,107$12,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,421.2119252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No54c22,900$12,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,533.9514553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No54c22,309$12,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,262.188057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No54c21,780$11,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,018.7622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No72c21,449$15,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.1353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No61c21,364$12,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,424.9613163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No54c20,462$11,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,412.3113261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes45c20,000$8,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,981.6132429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed No53c17,423$9,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,232.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c17,335$7,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,764.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c15,683$8,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,364.0574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No55c15,497$8,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,973.5915843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c15,055$8,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,856.771,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9004652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No53c14,802$7,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,997.3632765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No55c14,029$7,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,310.3124058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No56c13,986$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,185.4517642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No69c13,901$9,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.137545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No53c13,494$7,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.072166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes7c13,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes46c12,245$5,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,689.9314856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes44c11,909$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No56c11,784$6,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No54c11,111$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.1116260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed Yes0c11,099$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+84.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c10,641$5,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,957.92,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Yes47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No55c10,539$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,789.4216357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed No54c10,315$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.814341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No53c10,076$5,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.658440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363c…900dbacked Yes44c10,050$4,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4221442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7009627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9690…9403backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes39c9,521$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.156737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No56c9,350$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.914860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No60c8,668$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.677259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed No56c8,374$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.366541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No51c8,076$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.0385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7609161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.8986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No56c7,909$4,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.0336250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No73c7,833$5,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.9318848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No53c7,777$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.9234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes45c7,764$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes44c6,818$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes48c6,207$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes46c6,000$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7708158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.8216258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes47c5,745$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.6922451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes31c5,058$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.3118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324a…f1a1backed Yes33c4,933$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.693946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Yes46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0701330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a6…6520backed Yes47c4,469$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.037035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes26c4,450$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.510537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes34c4,428$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.871,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes30c4,354$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.7998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes45c4,353$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.874634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb385…180ebacked Yes46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No53c4,290$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.2897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Yes35c4,204$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.398530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…ad70backed Yes47c4,200$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9741010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-85.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No71c4,041$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.3711854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes50c4,007$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes44c4,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.988425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.912534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes47c3,822$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Yes48c3,729$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c5…1710backed Yes48c3,682$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.372725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes25c3,680$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.5631152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf77…35a2backed Yes46c3,585$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…204bbacked Yes33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb687…aee5backed No54c3,424$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.21361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Yes43c3,324$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.568140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09cc…d8d9backed Yes29c3,304$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x512b…a14ebacked Yes48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c3,069$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.182,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8464…f5b8backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes47c3,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4106564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes33c3,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No72c2,979$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.53366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c2,932$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.22,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…0b71backed Yes46c2,802$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.71450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1c…c75bbacked Yes43c2,621$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.