TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,387 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca7c…e994backed No6c1,008$59 inLost-$58.9337350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed No7c975.11$73 inLost-$72.6423230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked No37c900$331 inLost-$330.956150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed No14c734.97$100 inLost-$1008528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No7c626.05$42 inLost-$41.881,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No5c399.89$20 inLost-$19.993013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ea…071dbacked No5c387.98$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes48c312.42$150 inWon+$162.469247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed No8c312.32$24 inLost-$23.7429813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Yes75c309$232 inWon+$77.2524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed Yes75c237.5$178 inWon+$59.523964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No8c225.19$17 inLost-$16.942,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No11c181.82$20 inLost-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked No7c143.93$10 inLost-$101717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes75c132$99 inWon+$3382537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed Yes58c100$58 inWon+$429078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Yes75c44.8$34 inWon+$11.245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c09…acafbacked Yes76c23.2$18 inWon+$5.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1501…783fbacked Yes77c22.06$17 inWon+$5.094837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes75c19.2$14 inWon+$4.895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.