Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 2+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca092ebced19a295eba7ad27f90292791f5506295a82f1d19c090cdcb22aff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 21c | 1,132$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…515bbacked No | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…1b86backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…042abacked Yes | 77c | 577.58$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…784ebacked Yes | 79c | 449.47$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 435.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 22c | 309$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 20c | 253.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 19c | 208.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 21c | 117.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…1fcbbacked No | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes | 66c | 117.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 22c | 100.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 21c | 74.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ec…1a4bbacked No | 22c | 66.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +12.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 21c | 60.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 80c | 44.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…3769backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…bf25backed Yes | 77c | 32.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…07bfbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…346cbacked Yes | 75c | 20.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…463bbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
- Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.