Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85aa21232741b7a20bb96a9794e6ca05dd3f0e750b76e6f38838530b18184fa2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $160,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $159,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,779 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4155…fa41backed Yes	3c	65,195$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,952.62	201	86.1%173 W · 28 L	+46.2wins	+0.23per pick	63cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	73+0.20 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes	5c	21,973$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	72	25%18 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb495…b3a4backed Yes	2c	4,257$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.19	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	2cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No	78c	3,048$2,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670.66	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7e3cbacked Yes	22c	3,042$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.41	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Yes	21c	2,760$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.64	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed No	60c	2,400$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	4c	2,350$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.38	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	22c	2,319$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0398…5e96backed Yes	4c	2,222$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes	5c	2,083$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	318	9.4%30 W · 288 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes	5c	2,002$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	1,339$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.1	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	23c	1,142$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.41	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	14c	1,102$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.85	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	5c	1,100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes	5c	1,035$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.49	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes	5c	1,021$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes	21c	956.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	883.14$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.35	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9774…3497backed No	30c	659.92$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+281%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7263…d771backed Yes	5c	652.17$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	156	38.5%60 W · 96 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	75c	527.66$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.92	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0617…e371backed Yes	24c	517.07$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666e…e195backed No	30c	500$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	5c	434.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes	5c	434.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	22.4%19 W · 66 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes	5c	434.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes	5c	400$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes	28c	356.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	96	35.4%34 W · 62 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d34…dca1backed Yes	5c	341.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked No	5c	336.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.14	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	3cpaid	+194.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec83…d443backed Yes	5c	333.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes	5c	312.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	78c	306.61$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.71	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf1…a707backed Yes	5c	264.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	5c	260.73$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4562…c8bdbacked Yes	6c	244.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Yes	21c	242.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	67c	239.19$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.75	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a1…2dbebacked Yes	7c	223.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1649…6de4backed Yes	20c	209.91$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	10c	199.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	13c	177.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	20cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae65…03e3backed Yes	21c	167.44$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes	10c	157.85$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes	70c	141.69$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.18	199	44.7%89 W · 110 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes	19c	128.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes	70c	113$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.07	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes	21c	101.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	74	4.1%3 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e0e…9eb8backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Yes	22c	93.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No	56c	72.34$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.67	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5a…4063backed Yes	70c	70.57$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes	23c	64.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	301	48.2%145 W · 156 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	73c	59.16$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.68	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	71c	47.77$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes	29c	44.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	258	41.1%106 W · 152 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked No	40c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc234…eac5backed Yes	69c	28.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No	78c	27.46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.96	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	71c	27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event