Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f92a28537174aeda278dae3a8733bd06b7f8413c1b5a8c8d0b7fee70d2b7f9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 4c | 15,549$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.93 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 3c | 15,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 7,389$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 3c | 3,188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…9c34backed Yes | 3c | 3,081$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…a69ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 2,999$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…3c1dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,885$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…7b42backed Yes | 4c | 1,685$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…e032backed Yes | 3c | 1,566$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…8d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef8…ac18backed Yes | 4c | 1,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…6256backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2624…699cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,083$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…f07abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…7b30backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…3403backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…a206backed Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…964abacked Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…2b82backed Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes | 4c | 871.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…4900backed Yes | 3c | 857.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 3c | 781.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…fbdebacked Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 3c | 606.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 3c | 551.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 3c | 526.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…1c94backed Yes | 4c | 508.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 3c | 468.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…01b1backed Yes | 3c | 454.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…2215backed Yes | 3c | 432.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…4707backed Yes | 3c | 406.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 185 | 10.8%20 W · 165 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…35a2backed Yes | 3c | 370$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…6a3cbacked Yes | 4c | 348.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…7960backed Yes | 3c | 342.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 3c | 342.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…0983backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…cbedbacked Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…8d27backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…1a22backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…b528backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…9aa3backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…4043backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…38b5backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…a9efbacked Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 4c | 302.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
- Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.