TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c38,300$10,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,785.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No72c24,999$18,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,099.6319252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c20,155$14,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,611.8174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No73c13,554$9,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,839.1646464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes28c10,714$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,714.2913725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.892317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.874652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes27c9,445$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,894.657140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No73c5,500$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.8786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes28c5,357$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.149823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6506737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.92166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c4,373$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.442,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No72c4,188$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.4232765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Yes26c4,164$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.374148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No73c4,110$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c4,005$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.81,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes27c4,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.9930431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No69c3,689$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No73c2,726$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.3997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes28c2,679$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.5720633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No74c2,534$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.1516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes28c2,223$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3511218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No73c1,850$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.438652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Yes28c1,780$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.67639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes27c1,722$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.226631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80cc…c7c7backed Yes27c1,651$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.24323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No73c1,575$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.083,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No73c1,480$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.1414945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.578530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c1,274$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes28c1,262$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.547824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No73c1,187$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.5570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No24c1,013$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes27c1,003$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.4817636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…4743backed Yes27c925.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes28c907.94$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.791,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No72c851.64$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.155962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No19c841.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.212,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes75c792.19$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1213268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes24c724$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.029219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.293189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No73c683.98$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes28c574.13$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7814725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No72c560.4$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.022,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes27c554$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4224247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes28c520$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.416428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36024233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No72c499.95$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9612875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes27c473.78$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4766745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No72c430.88$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8718843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29216841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed No73c373.97$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3711162.2%69 W · 42 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8b1e…790cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.374949%24 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3710050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3717723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0617…e371backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.377034.3%24 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3719938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d0…534ebacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa668…f0f1backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.374337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3730321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3719411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No48c358.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1419442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8319436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a8…a003backed Yes28c341.43$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.837118.3%13 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Yes29c334.34$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.381723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x605d…1464backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.335846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes29c329.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.915325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No15c319.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.171,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Yes26c310$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.48617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7110956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No71c280.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.287259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No74c271$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.542576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+52.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd6…c388backed No73c267$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.912657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5222…f6e0backed Yes27c263$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes29c249.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4910438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.499942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4911828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Yes27c229.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6316544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…87a3backed Yes27c214.81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8117231.4%54 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c208.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.842,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14615742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1486331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…7663backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1463043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No38c191.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.611,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c190.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1920025.5%51 W · 149 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1917638.1%67 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.197236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc32…2516backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1922851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192650%13 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.