NHL · resolved market
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89389a6b1439856a8d366234c795d72865c927a1aa3cf9d4cc04a3a400defde1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,553,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,190,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,553,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 843 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Yes | 50c | 141,976$70,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,743.84 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 47c | 132,897$62,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,323.66 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 29c | 109,806$32,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,257.6 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 9c | 100,151$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120.45 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 99,886$20,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,549.9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Yes | 31c | 86,455$26,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,561.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 45c | 70,789$31,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,857.82 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 54c | 66,231$35,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,720.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 16c | 62,172$9,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,875.6 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 7c | 56,241$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.49 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 40c | 50,000$20,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,049.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 5c | 49,306$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +195%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 5c | 45,769$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.88 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 12c | 43,694$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.31 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 11c | 39,559$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 7c | 36,832$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.33 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 12c | 32,495$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.98 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Yes | 6c | 32,491$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.47 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 78c | 31,345$24,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.66 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed No | 57c | 29,790$16,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,834.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Yes | 15c | 28,655$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…a689backed Yes | 59c | 23,297$13,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,693 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 6c | 23,229$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Yes | 7c | 22,301$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 21,778$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.27 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 8c | 19,239$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.16 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 59c | 18,683$11,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,094.1 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 8c | 18,586$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.39 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…fc3dbacked Yes | 53c | 18,537$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 6c | 17,317$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.8 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed No | 59c | 17,007$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 42c | 15,107$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.52 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 7c | 14,209$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.96 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 41c | 13,823$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 13,645$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Yes | 42c | 13,332$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…68b2backed Yes | 43c | 13,152$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 9c | 12,855$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.88 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 6c | 12,371$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.12 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes | 41c | 12,236$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 4c | 12,073$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Yes | 13c | 12,071$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.19 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Yes | 41c | 12,000$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 12c | 11,504$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.35 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 20c | 11,348$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.93 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9319…0bfabacked Yes | 43c | 9,990$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 9,784$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.35 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 19c | 9,631$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.6 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…cd62backed Yes | 6c | 9,179$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 64c | 8,996$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 46c | 8,513$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.84 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 18c | 8,352$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.44 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 5c | 7,950$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 41c | 7,719$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.37 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 41c | 7,615$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.73 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Yes | 45c | 7,463$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 7c | 7,444$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.51 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 6c | 7,365$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.91 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 40c | 7,159$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.13 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,653$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 6,573$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 7c | 6,304$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Yes | 41c | 6,280$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed Yes | 6c | 6,119$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 17c | 5,971$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.36 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…dbe5backed Yes | 59c | 5,877$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 7c | 5,744$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 39c | 5,547$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 5,500$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 42c | 5,417$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.14 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 45c | 5,247$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.19 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 30c | 5,136$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.87 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1825…c651backed Yes | 6c | 5,097$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 9c | 5,053$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,982$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 4,892$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 7c | 4,794$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed No | 38c | 4,758$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 61c | 4,625$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 9c | 4,553$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,550$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…d86cbacked Yes | 42c | 4,123$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 7c | 4,114$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 13c | 4,081$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.49 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Yes | 7c | 3,969$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.85 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 6c | 3,967$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 11c | 3,882$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 7c | 3,827$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…d6a7backed Yes | 7c | 3,794$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…cad0backed No | 56c | 3,759$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 13c | 3,723$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…2385backed No | 70c | 3,712$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…b145backed Yes | 7c | 3,711$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 7c | 3,646$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 20c | 3,467$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 7c | 3,452$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed No | 55c | 3,450$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.