TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,621,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,378,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,621,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c120,017$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.123228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes3c52,330$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.76254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2b…69a4backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f42…4233backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes0c16,961$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.89270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ab…30aebacked Yes2c16,865$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53dd…96e4backed Yes0c16,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…f9c6backed Yes4c16,648$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.63166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes7c15,361$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.431,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c13,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c12,600$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c12,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c12,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c12,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c12,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c12,320$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c12,312$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.243944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c12,227$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.29240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes2c12,219$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.952711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c11,400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14a…9e30backed Yes0c10,200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e4…faf1backed Yes0c10,200$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa683…f10cbacked Yes0c10,190$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4df…4c65backed Yes0c10,170$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e7…3bbcbacked Yes1c10,150$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebf…be34backed Yes0c10,141$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5b…6d8abacked Yes0c10,140$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d07…06f2backed Yes0c10,070$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c10,068$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.91310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfade…68cfbacked Yes2c9,563$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eca…ab82backed Yes0c9,223$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes1c8,838$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9930551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c8,671$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.282814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1825…c651backed Yes1c8,329$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a6…392abacked Yes1c7,967$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e1…47e8backed Yes0c7,917$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes1c7,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes2c7,378$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.92185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes1c7,050$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf8…acdbbacked Yes1c6,963$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes7c6,023$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+49.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes2c5,999$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes8c5,546$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1766951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes9c5,377$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8088…1a2abacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d6f…aa99backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eca…86e3backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes1c4,402$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes2c4,013$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.124949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb59f…7d7dbacked Yes0c3,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c3,636$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…a5b9backed Yes1c3,375$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e2…6bf6backed Yes1c3,291$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8a…9b58backed Yes0c3,253$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b0…cf23backed Yes1c3,137$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes3c3,000$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0345447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373f…1878backed Yes13c2,860$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…7af7backed Yes8c2,547$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2eb9…ca1bbacked Yes4c2,494$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.62119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc143…d7f4backed Yes0c2,400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes2c2,295$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.126414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes8c2,264$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…673fbacked Yes1c2,200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.72425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+172.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5531…76fcbacked Yes12c2,152$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.133336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes6c2,034$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.95234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c1,981$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5222516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes8c1,875$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6260042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fa…d857backed Yes2c1,820$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.761118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf39…2e79backed Yes5c1,799$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe556…4659backed Yes6c1,700$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc1…26babacked Yes1c1,656$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes3c1,638$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.24130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…a82cbacked Yes1c1,607$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5554…b12dbacked Yes4c1,521$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c1,512$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b17…cb13backed Yes4c1,461$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Yes3c1,446$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+400%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4940…52efbacked Yes2c1,429$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes7c1,391$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.26147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-86.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed Yes2c1,371$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c1,297$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2858841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x293b…5d33backed Yes2c1,260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf205…ae0dbacked Yes4c1,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-74.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x233e…8583backed Yes3c1,229$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81f…656ebacked Yes7c1,218$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863c…3169backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes4c1,094$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.176139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda7a…d321backed Yes9c1,067$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025550.2%128 W · 127 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb79…34fdbacked Yes10c1,039$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3e…1598backed Yes3c1,017$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes7c1,006$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6716554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2721…325bbacked Yes4c1,001$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-62.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes3c994.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4922946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c944.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.726811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a9c…c336backed Yes4c938.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060d…8932backed Yes1c908.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.