TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc08…2f6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Tennis at 50 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST12435.5%44 W · 80 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$88.2
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$111.43
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+376.2%+$79
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+49.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,262.7%+$855.63
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.64
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.21
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jets vs. Sabresbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$63.5
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$142.7
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Will Charles Leclerc win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$32
Will Lando Norris win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will another driver win the United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.06
Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sergio Perez win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+669.2%+$104.4
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Charles Leclerc win the Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+76.2%+$122.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,103.05
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.45
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,738
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrey Rublev win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$103.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.